不确定条件下超大型集装箱船舶经济性分析  

Economic Analysis of Ultra-large Containership Subject to Fluctuating Market Factors

作　　者：陈丽芬[1,2] 王文[1] 陈红彬[1] 邵晓娴[1] CHEN Lifen;WANG Wen;CHEN Hongbin;SHAO Xiaoxian(Navigation College,Jimei University,Xiamen 361021,China;Transportation Management College,Dalian Maritime University,Dalian 116026,China)

机构地区：[1]集美大学航海学院,福建厦门361021 [2]大连海事大学交通运输管理学院,辽宁大连116026

出　　处：《集美大学学报（自然科学版）》2019年第3期192-197,共6页Journal of Jimei University：Natural Science

基　　金：福建省中青年教师教育科研项目(JAT180258);福建省自然科学基金项目(2019J01060370)

摘　　要：为计算不同类型集装箱船的必要运费率,并选出经济性最佳船型,以亚欧航线为例,应用正交试验法,对最佳船型进行多因素敏感性分析,利用方差分析给出各不确定因素对船舶经济性影响显著程度。结果表明,载箱率、燃油价格、船舶价格三个因素显著性最强。班轮运输公司可通过提高载箱率、降低燃油成本、选择最佳造船时机等方式使得单船经济性最佳。The enlargement of containerships has been accelerated by the fierce competition in the shipping market.To calculates required freight rate (RFR) of different types of containerships and chooses the optimum in economy,the paper takes the route from Asia to Europe as an example,makes multi-factors sensitivity analysis of the optimal vessel by orthogonal experimental design(OED),and illustrates the influencing degree of each uncertain factor on economy through variance analysis.The result indicates that loading rate,oil price and ship prices have the most significant degree.Shipping companies can take measures to ensure the economy of containerships through increasing loading rates,reducing fuel cost and choosing the best shipbuilding time.

关 键 词：集装箱船舶 必要运费率 正交试验法 方差分析 

分 类 号：F550.5[经济管理—产业经济]