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作 者:段明辰[1] 段毅 DUAN Mingchen;DUAN Yi(School of Economics and Management,Gansu Institute of Political Science and Law,Lanzhou 730070,China;Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources,Chinese Academy of Sciences / Gansu Provincial Key Laboratory of PetroleumResources,Lanzhou 730000,China)
机构地区:[1]甘肃政法学院经济管理学院,兰州730070 [2]中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院/甘肃省油气资源研究重点实验室,兰州730000
出 处:《世界科技研究与发展》2019年第2期212-220,共9页World Sci-Tech R&D
基 金:甘肃省社科规划(YB098)资助
摘 要:“一带一路”发展战略为提升我国与中亚地区产油国家的石油能源合作水平提供了新的动力。为了系统地认识中亚地区石油供需特征,进而为我国与中亚国家石油能源合作的统筹谋划提供依据,本文通过研究中亚地区产油国家和我国近年来石油储量、产量、消费量和进出口量及其增速特征发现,中亚产油国家的石油探明储量很高,为我国石油能源的持续稳定供应奠定了物质基础;同时,中亚产油国家之间石油储量、产量、消费量和可供出口量及其增速特征十分不平衡,伊朗和哈萨克斯坦具有很强的石油生产潜力,俄罗斯、哈萨克斯坦和阿塞拜疆具有很强的石油出口能力。因此,我国与中亚国家石油能源合作时,应战略性地确定不同合作内容和方式,正确把握石油贸易关系,采取多元合作模式,并在合作时秉持维护共同能源安全、促进经济共同发展的互利共赢原则,以确保中亚石油能源对我国的持续稳定供应。“The Belt and Road” development strategy has provided new impetus for upgrading the level of oil energy cooperation between China and oil-producing countries in Central Asia region.In order to systematically understand the oil supply and demand characteristics in Central Asia region,and then provide a basis for the overall planning of petroleum energy cooperation between China and Central Asian countries,this paper studies the oil reserves,production,consumption,import and export volumes,and their increasing speed of Central Asian oil-producing countries and China in recent years.The results show that Central Asian oil-producing countries have high proven oil reserves,which has laid a material foundation for the sustained and stable supply of oil energy in China.At the same time,the characteristics of oil reserves,production,consumption,available export volumes and their increasing speed of Central Asian oil-producing countries are very unbalanced.Iran and Kazakhstan show strong oil production potential,and Russia,Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan show strong oil export capabilities.Therefore,as China cooperates with Central Asian oil-producing countries in the field of oil energy,it is necessary to strategically determine different cooperation contents and approaches,correctly grasp the relationship of oil trade and adopt multiple modes of cooperation.Moreover,in this kind of oil energy cooperation,China should uphold the principle of mutual benefits and multi-win cooperation for maintaining common energy security and promoting common economic development,which is beneficial to ensure the sustained and stable supply of oil energy in China.
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