冷战后中美西太平洋军力对比的发展演变  

The Evolution of China-U.S. Balance of Military Power in the Post-Cold War Western Pacific Region

作　　者：吕晶华 罗曦[2] Lyu Jinghua;Luo Xi

机构地区：[1]盘古智库 [2]中国人民大学国际政治专业

出　　处：《美国研究》2019年第3期80-95,M0005,共17页The Chinese Journal of American Studies

摘　　要：中美关系正常化之后,东亚地区形成了以“陆海分离”为特征的安全秩序。冷战结束后,美国政府频繁调整亚太安全战略及军事部署,中国军事现代化进程持续推进,导致这一秩序迅速瓦解,新的秩序尚未形成。基于确保地区主导权的考虑,美国不断调整亚太安全战略,其中的一个重要动因,就是抵消中美西太平洋军事力量对比变化带来的影响。期间,美国由寻求确保台海两岸军事平衡,到维持中国与东亚军事强国的军事平衡,再到阻止中国抵消美国在西太平洋地区的军事优势,与中国针锋相对的一面明显上升。为有效管控这一趋势,避免两军在亚太地区迎头相撞,确保地区安全稳定,有必要从观念、秩序和实力三个层面出发,思考中美在西太平洋地区可能构建的军力对比态势。After the normalization of relations between China and the United States,the regional security order in East Asia can be characterized as a bipolar one in which the United States played a dominant role at sea while China dominated on land.The balance of military power was relatively stable until the end of the Cold War.As U.S.administrations adjusted their Asia-Pacific security strategies and enhanced military deployment consistently,and China made efforts to advance its military modernization at the same time,this order disappeared while the new order was underway.To effectively manage such a dangerous trend with the objective of avoiding military conflicts and ensuring security and stability in the Asia-Pacific region,it is necessary to consider how to establish a feasible and acceptable balance of military power in the Western Pacific region between the two sides which includes three dimensions:perception,order,and strength.

关 键 词：美国军事与外交 中美关系 军事 亚太安全战略 力量对比 

分 类 号：E712[军事—军事理论] E25