“粮经饲”种植结构优化方法与对弈式操作策略  

Optimization method of planting structure of “grain &economic & feed crop” and playing chess operation strategy of software platform

作　　者：梁启章[1] 齐清文[1] 姜莉莉[1] 梁迅[1] Liang Qizhang;Qi Qingwen;Jiang Lili;Liang Xun(Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research,CAS/State Key Laboratory ofResources and Environmental Information System,Beijing 100081,China)

机构地区：[1]中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所/资源与环境信息系统国家重点实验室

出　　处：《中国农业信息》2019年第2期84-97,共14页China Agricultural Informatics

基　　金：中国科学院现代农业示范与区域创新集群计划项目子课题“基于GIS的精准农业辅助决策与可视化协同指挥调度系统研发”(CXJQ12010402)

摘　　要：【目的】优先推动“粮经饲”作物种植结构优化,促进农业供给侧结构性改革,可加快培育农业农村发展新动能,实现乡村振兴战略。【方法】关键在于查清种植业分区特色与种植现状,总结好当地专家和经营者经验与知识,充分挖掘农田作物适宜性潜力,科学预测市场供需与经济期望,采用多目标评估方法,开发对弈式智能化操作平台。【结果】推广应用基于种植业时空大数据的对弈式智能化软件平台,可产生区域种植结构优化方案,达到稳定粮食生产,提升经济作物效益以及尽可能多地扩大饲料作物种植面积,以支持或扩大养殖业,发展加工业和服务业,延伸农村产业链,实现乡镇振兴目标。【结论】多目标评价方法与对弈式智能化操作策略,适用于种植业结构优化或农业供给侧结构改革等多目标问题,平台运行过程中发挥决策者的主导作用,能够确保结构优化规划方案的科学性与可行性。[Purpose]It has become one of the major measures to accelerate the cultivation of new drivers of agricultural and rural development and realize the strategy of rural revitalization to give priority to the optimization of the tripartite structure of“ grain,economy and fodder” and promote the supply-side structural reform of agriculture.[ Method]The key is to find out the characteristics and structure of planting in different regions,summarize the experience and knowledge of local experts and operators,fully tap the suitability potential of farmland crops,scientifically predict market supply and demand and economic expectations,adopt multi-objective evaluation method,and develop intelligent gaming operation platform.[Result]Application based on the planting big data in time and space and the intelligent game type operation platform can produce regional planting structure optimization scheme,meet the stable grain production and improve benefit of economic crop,and expand the forage crop acreage as much as possible to support expanding aquaculture,processing industry and service industry development,extending rural industry chain and promote the rural revitalization.[Conclusion]The multi-objective evaluation method and intelligent gaming operation strategy are applicable to the multi-objective problems such as planting industry structure optimization or agricultural supply-side structure reform. In the process of platform operation,the leading role of decision makers can ensure the scientificity and feasibility of structural optimization planning scheme.

关 键 词：供给侧结构 种植结构 多目标评价方法 对弈式操作策略 

分 类 号：F326.1[经济管理—产业经济]