图像自寻的火箭弹命中概率计算与分析  

The Calculation and Analysis of the Hit Probability of Image Homing Rocket Bombs

作　　者：房施东 陈栋 刘桢 高姗 周到 FANG Shidong;CHEN Dong;LIU Zhen;GAO Shan;ZHOU Dao(PLA Army Academy of Artillery and Air Defense,Hefei 230031,Anhui,China;Data Information Room of Jiangxi Province Military Region,Nanchang 330006,Jiangxi,China;The 18th Brigade,Shijiazhuang Campus of Army Engineering University,Shijiazhuang 050000,Hebei,China)

机构地区：[1]中国人民解放军陆军炮兵防空兵学院,安徽合肥230031 [2]江西省军区数据信息室,江西南昌330006 [3]陆军工程大学石家庄校区十八大队,河北石家庄050000

出　　处：《火炮发射与控制学报》2019年第2期72-76,87,共6页Journal of Gun Launch & Control

摘　　要：图像自寻的火箭弹目标命中概率直接影响其作战使用。针对该火箭弹弹道及探测设备特点,在分析火箭弹落点偏差产生过程的基础上,通过建立末段弹道简化模型,计算分析了空气阻力及重力、风速风向对落点偏差的影响;然后构建了基于导引盲距与跟踪角误差影响的落点偏差数学模型与命中概率计算模型,并仿真分析了各因素的影响规律;最后根据图像自寻的火箭弹导引盲距推算了跟踪角误差指标要求,并仿真了其落弹散布情况,为该弹种研发与使用提供了重要参考。The target hit probability of the image homing rocket has a direct impact on its combat use.In view of the characteristics of the rocket trajectory and detection equipment,based on the analysis of the formation process of the landing point deviation of the rocket,a simplified model of the terminal trajectory was established,with the effects of air resistance,gravity,wind speed and direction on the landing point deviation calculated and analyzed.Then,the mathematical model of landing point deviation and hit probability calculation model based on the influence of guide blind distance and tracking angle error were constructed,with the influence rules of each factor simulated and analyzed.Finally,according to the blind distance of image homing rocket missile guide,the tracking angle error index requirements were calculated,with the dispersion of projectiles simulated,which provides an important reference for the development and use of the missile.

关 键 词：图像自寻的火箭弹 命中概率 落点偏差 导引盲距 跟踪角误差 

分 类 号：TJ760[兵器科学与技术—武器系统与运用工程]