基于空间自相关的城市化、经济与生态环境协调发展分析——以新疆巴州地区为例  

The Analysis of Space Autocorrelation About the Coordination Degree Development Between Urbanization,Economic and Ecological Environment in the Bavaria

作　　者：周玄德 孜比布拉·司马义[2,3] 邓祖涛[1] ZHOU Xuan-de;Zibibula·Simayi;DENG Zu-tao(School of Tourism and Hospitality Management, Hubei University of Economics, Wuhan 430205, China;College of Recourse and Environmental Science of Xinjiang University, Urumqi 830046, China;Key Laboratory of Oasis Ecology, Ministry of Education of Xinjiang University, Urumqi 830046, China)

机构地区：[1]湖北经济学院旅游与酒店管理学院,湖北武汉430205 [2]新疆大学资源与环境科学学院,新疆乌鲁木齐830046 [3]新疆大学绿洲生态教育部重点实验室,新疆乌鲁木齐830046

出　　处：《数学的实践与认识》2019年第10期1-10,共10页Mathematics in Practice and Theory

基　　金：国家自然科学基金重点项目(41130531);新疆研究生科研创新项目(XJGRI2014020);国家社会科学基金(15BJY128)

摘　　要：以巴州地区9县市为研究对象,选取2002-2012年城市化、经济与环境相关评价指标,通过变异系数法,结合加权求和得到三系统综合得分,结合耦合协调度模型确定9县市的城市化、经济与环境子系统之间的协调度,对巴州地区各县市的协调发展状况进行空间自相关分析,研究三者的空间演化,结论如下:1)城市化、经济、环境三系统均呈现波动前进,巴州地区协调程度逐渐增强,呈现比较明显的上升态势;2)巴州9县市协调程度主要集中于中度协调和低度协调两个类型,表明三者之间的协调度还有很大的发展空间,有待进一步提高;3)城市化、经济与环境协调发展的空间自相关总体上呈正相关、相似性与集聚性向负相关、异质性的趋势发展;4)局部空间自相关的聚类分布发现和硕、博湖、尉犁位于高高区域,结合中心城市库尔勒市的行政地位及其地理位置等优势,发挥辐射带动作用,促进周边城市的发展.Bavaria region nine counties as the research object, selecting 2002-2012 urbanization, economic and environment-related evaluation, clearance variation coefficient method,combined with the weighted summation of three systems composite score, calculated nine counties urbanization, economic and environmental development coordination degree of coordinated development of regional and city and county Bavaria spatial autocorrelation analysis,spatial evolution of the three, the following conclusions: 1) urbanization, economic, environmental three systems are fluctuated forward, gradually increase the level of coordination Bavaria region, showing obvious upward trend;2) the degree of coordination counties mainly in the low to moderate degree of coordination and the coordinated development of the two types, indicating the degree of coordination between the three there is still much room for development, to be further improved;3) urbanization, economic and environmental development of spatial autocorrelation overall positive correlation, similarity and clustering aptitude negatively correlated heterogeneity trends;4) local spatial autocorrelation clustering distribution discover and master, Bo Lake, located high in the region Yuli, combining administrative center of the city of Korla city status and geographic advantages, play the leading role in promoting the development of the surrounding cities.

关 键 词：城市化 经济增长 生态环境 协调度 自相关 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济] F299.27[环境科学与工程—环境工程] X321