漳州古雷“4·6”事故居民疏散行为调查及相关性研究  

Investigation and correlation study on evacuation behavior of residents in “4·6” accident of Zhangzhou Gulei

作　　者：柯霄 程五一[1] 邓云峰 王双燕[1] KE Xiao;CHENG Wuyi;DENG Yunfeng;WANG Shuangyan(School of Engineering and Technology,China University of Geosciences (Beijing), Beijing 100083,China;Party School of the Central Committee of C.P.C & National Academy of Governance, Beijing 100091,China)

机构地区：[1]中国地质大学(北京)工程技术学院,北京100083 [2]中共中央党校(国家行政学院),北京100091

出　　处：《中国安全生产科学技术》2019年第6期48-54,共7页Journal of Safety Science and Technology

基　　金：国家重点研发计划项目(2017YFC0804706)

摘　　要：为研究危化品爆炸事故应急处置过程中,事故地点周边居民疏散行为及心理特征,设计预疏散、疏散、返程3个阶段对漳州古雷“4·6”事故居民的行为反应进行问卷调查,运用皮尔逊卡方检验对问卷调查统计结果进行相关性分析,得出40组存在显著相关性的变量组,选取20组典型变量组进行分析。研究结果表明:高学历人群和有疏散经历的人群在疏散中表现的更冷静并且传递信息的意识更强;口头通知在众多疏散通知方式中对疏散的效果最好;有异常感知的人群在疏散中惯性行为更明显,耐心更差;性别和家庭人口数量差异对于人群的疏散行为的影响并不显著。In order to research the evacuation behavior and psychological characteristics of the surrounding residents during the emergency disposal process of the hazardous chemical explosion accident, three stages of pre-evacuation, evacuation and return were designed to conduct a questionnaire survey on the behavioral response of the residents in Zhangzhou Gulei “4·6” accident. The correlation analysis on the statistical results of questionnaire survey was carried out by using the Pearson chi-square test, and 40 groups of variables with significant correlation were obtained, then 20 groups of typical variables were selected to analyze. The results showed that people with high academic qualifications and evacuation experience were more calm and more aware of information transmission during the evacuation. The verbal notification had the best effect on evacuation in variable evacuation notification methods. People with abnormal perception had the more obvious inertia behavior during the evacuation, with worse patience. The difference in gender and quantity of family population had no significant influence on the evacuation behavior of the crowd.

关 键 词：危化品爆炸事故 疏散行为 问卷调查 相关性分析 

分 类 号：X928[环境科学与工程—安全科学]