中国棉花进口安全问题再探究  

Further study of China’s cotton import safety

作　　者：王力[1,2] 吴庆君 WANG Li;WU Qing-jun(School of Economics and Management, Shihezi University, Shihezi, Xinjiang 832003;Cotton Economic Research Center, Shihezi University, Shihezi,Xinjiang 832003)

机构地区：[1]石河子大学经济与管理学院,新疆石河子832003 [2]石河子大学棉花经济研究中心,新疆石河子832003

出　　处：《价格月刊》2019年第7期60-67,共8页

基　　金：新疆生产建设兵团重大科技项目“机采棉提质增效关键技术集成示范与效益评价”(编号:2016A A001-4)

摘　　要：2018年我国有73%的进口棉花来源于美国、澳大利亚和巴西,棉花进口的高度集中既是国内需求结构变化的结果,也受世界棉花供需格局变动的影响。综合分析双方总体贸易平衡状况后发现,我国棉花进口综合依赖系数大于1,表明我国棉花对进口依赖性过高,棉花进口安全处于低水平。因此,要在保障国内自给率的基础上,积极改善棉花贸易环境,发展多元化进口市场和多种贸易合作形式。In 2018, 73% of China's imported cotton came from the United States, Australia and Brazil.The high concentration of cotton import was the result of changes in domestic demand structure and the world cotton supply and demand pattern. After comprehensive analysis of the overall trade balance between the two sides, it is found that the comprehensive dependence coefficient of China's cotton imports is greater than 1, indicating that China's cotton dependence on import is too high, and cotton import safety is at a low level. Therefore, on the basis of guaranteeing domestic self-sufficiency rate, we should actively improve the cotton trade environment, develop diversified import markets and various forms of trade cooperation.

关 键 词：棉花进口 综合依赖系数 贸易平衡指数 

分 类 号：F752.61[经济管理—国际贸易]