农民分化与中国乡村振兴:基于全国31省的动态面板证据  

Differentiation of farmers and vitalization of rural areas in China: evidence from 31 provinces

作　　者：赵丹丹 郑继媛[2] ZHAO Dandan;ZHENG Jiyuan

机构地区：[1]金陵科技学院商学院,南京211169 [2]南京农业大学经济管理学院,南京210005

出　　处：《世界农业》2019年第7期105-115,128,共12页World Agriculture

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71473121);国家社会科学基金重大项目(13&ZD160);江苏现代农业(水稻)产业技术体系产业经济研究团队项目(SXGC[2017]293);金陵科技学院高层次人才科研启动项目(jit-b-201819);江苏省社会科学基金项目(15GLD001);教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目(19YJC790190)

摘　　要：本文以乡村振兴战略总体要求为依据,构建乡村振兴评价指标体系,量化乡村振兴水平。运用面板数据模型,重点分析了2005—2014年农民分化发展路径及其对中国乡村振兴的影响。农民分化对中国乡村发展有显著推动作用,农民职业分化和农民收入分化均对中国乡村振兴有显著的正向影响。此外,在控制变量中,农村人力资本、交通基础设施、农村互联网和政府政策对中国乡村振兴有正向促进作用,地貌特征对乡村振兴有阻碍作用,说明地形条件越恶劣,越不利于乡村振兴。与此同时,本文还运用3SLS系统估计方法对农民分化提升乡村振兴水平作用的理论机制进行了验证。农民分化通过城镇化对乡村振兴起促进作用,前文结论得到了较好的验证。Based on the statistical data of 31 provinces in China from 2005 to 2014 and the overall requirements of the Rural Revitalization Strategy, this paper constructs an evaluation index system for Rural Revitalization Strategy and quantifies the level. On this basis, the paper uses panel data model to analyze the path of farmers ’ differentiation and development as well as its impact on rural revitalization in China. Empirical analysis shows that the differentiation of farmers has a significant role in promoting rural development in China. That is to say, the differentiation of farmers ’ occupation and income has a significant positive impact on the rural revitalization in China. In addition, among the control variables, rural human capital, transportation infrastructure, rural Internet and government policies have a positive effect. Geomorphological characteristics have a hindrance effect on rural revitalization, indicating that the worse the terrain conditions, the worse the rural revitalization. At the same time, this paper uses the 3SLS system estimation method to verify the theoretical mechanism of peasant differentiation in promoting the level of rural revitalization. The results show that peasant differentiation can promote rural revitalization through urbanization, which makes the previous conclusions better verified.

关 键 词：农民分化 农民职业分化 农民收入分化 城镇化 乡村振兴 

分 类 号：F323[经济管理—产业经济]