“一带一路”倡议下中国与中东欧国家贸易潜力研究  

Study on Trade Potential Between China and CEECs Under BRI

作　　者：匡增杰 高军[2] Kuang Zengjie;Gao Jun(Administration College,Fudan University,Shanghai 200433,China;Department of Economics and Business Administration ,Shanghai Customs College,Shanghai 201204,China)

机构地区：[1]复旦大学管理学院,上海200433 [2]上海海关学院经济与工商管理系,上海201204

出　　处：《统计与决策》2019年第13期122-124,共3页Statistics & Decision

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究一般项目(19YJCGJW005;18YJC630086);上海市社会科学规划一般项目(2018BJB012);上海海关学院“中国FTA战略”科研创新团队项目(2313111A17)

摘　　要：文章在分析中国与中东欧国家贸易发展现状的基础上,构建结构引力模型,实证分析中国与中东欧国家贸易潜力。结果表明:GDP、共同语言、接壤、殖民地和自贸协定等变量对贸易有积极作用。总体而言,中国与中东欧国家双边贸易潜力存在较大的发展空间。Based on the analysis of the development status of trade between China and central and eastern European countries (CEECs), this paper constructs a structural gravity model to empirically analyze the trade potential between China and CEECs. The results show that variables such as GDP, common language, borders, colonies and free trade agreements have positive effects on trade. On the whole, there is great potential for bilateral trade between China and CEE countries.

关 键 词：“一带一路” 中东欧国家 贸易潜力 结构引力方程 

分 类 号：F742[经济管理—国际贸易]