湖南省“一带一路”沿线入境旅游客源市场时空特征研究  

Study on the Temporal and Spatial Characteristics of Inbound Tourist Source Markets Along the Route of “The Belt and Road” Initiative in Hunan Province

作　　者：张维梅[1] 毛思琦 周子英[1] ZHANG Weimei;MAO Siqi;ZHOU Ziying(Management School, Hunan Institute of Engineering, Xiangtan 411104, China)

机构地区：[1]湖南工程学院管理学院

出　　处：《湖南工程学院学报（社会科学版）》2019年第3期1-7,共7页Journal of Hunan Institute of Engineering(Social Science Edition)

基　　金：湖南省哲学社会科学规划基金项目“湖南入境旅游对接‘一带一路’国家战略的途径及对策研究”(16YBA114);湖南省教育厅科学研究重点项目“湖南入境旅游发力‘一带一路’沿线客源市场的营销模式及实现路径研究”(18A349);湖南省社会科学成果评审委员会课题“湖南罗霄山片区旅游扶贫研究”(XSP17YBZC035)

摘　　要：运用年际集中指数、年际变动指数、地理集中指数、亲景度等方法,对2006-2017年湖南省“一带一路”沿线入境旅游主要客源国的入境旅游统计数据进行分析,发现年际集中指数很高,客流随时间变化强度大且呈现不稳定状态;年际变动指数总体变动幅度大,尤其是2016-2017年的年际变动指数突然迅速增大,预示着“一带一路”沿线入境旅游客源市场进入了一个快速发展的新阶段;地理集中指数比较稳定,且总体呈下降趋势,说明湖南省“一带一路”沿线入境旅游客源市场在空间结构上也会越来越分散;从亲景度分析来看,入境旅游客源国市场类型发生了较大正向变化,主要以亚洲国家为主,且东南亚国家居多数。Based on the inter-annual concentration index, the inter-annual variation index, the geographical concentration index, and the pro-degree of view, this paper analyzes the inbound tourism statistics of the major source countries of inbound tourism along the route of “The Belt and Road” Initiative in Hunan Province from 2006 to 2017. Findings show that: the inter-annual concentration index of inbound tourism flows along the route of “The Belt and Road” Initiative in Hunan Province is very high, the passenger flow changes with time and the passenger flow is unstable. The inter-annual change index has a large overall change, especially the interannual fluctuation index from 2016 to 2017 has suddenly increased rapidly, indicating that the inbound tourist source market along the route of “The Belt and Road” Initiative has entered a new stage of rapid development;the geographical concentration index is relatively stable and generally shows a downward trend. It shows that the inbound tourist source market along the route in Hunan Province will be more and more dispersed in the spatial structure. From the perspective of pro-study analysis, the market types of major inbound tourist source countries along the route have undergone major positive changes. The tourist source countries are mainly Asian countries, and Southeast Asian countries are the majority.

关 键 词：“一带一路”沿线 入境旅游客源市场 时空特征 湖南省 

分 类 号：F590.1[经济管理—旅游管理]