欧洲安全格局视角下俄罗斯与北约的关系及趋向  

The Status Quo and Development Trend of the Russia-NATO Relationship from the Perspective of European Security Pattern

作　　者：张建[1] Zhang Jian(Department of Diplomacy and Foreign Affairs Management, China)

机构地区：[1]外交学院外交学与外事管理系

出　　处：《和平与发展》2019年第4期34-50,132-133,共19页Peace and Development

摘　　要：欧洲地缘安全格局在俄罗斯与北约的博弈中发生深刻变化,其在冷战后形成的相对稳定状况发生了动摇。随着北约对俄罗斯的态度逐渐强硬,俄罗斯军演次数不断增加,国际社会有关"新冷战"的争论再次出现。乌克兰危机的爆发一定程度上缓解了北约的"生存危机"。克里米亚事件后,俄罗斯与北约关系的发展大致经历了三个阶段:冲突升级、稍有缓和、再次全面较量。双方严重的战略互疑使彼此走向对抗思维的"路径依赖"。冷战后,俄罗斯对大国身份的追求加大了其变革国际秩序的决心,近年国际政治中出现的"地缘思维回潮"等导致俄罗斯与北约关系紧张加剧。俄罗斯国内政治现状、区域形势、冲突管控等因素对其与北约关系趋向的影响值得关注。The European geo-security pattern has undergone a profound change due to the game-playing between Russia and NATO, making the relatively stable geo-security pattern established in the wake of the Cold War collapsing. With the NATO summit getting tougher on Russia, Russia has increased its military exercises, thus giving rise to the debate on the new Cold War in the international community. The outbreak of the Ukraine crisis has, to some extent, mitigated NATO’s survival crisis. In the wake of the Crimea incident, NATO’s relations with Russia have roughly undergone three phases, namely conflictescalation, some relaxation and full scale contest again. Serious mutual strategic suspicion between Russia and NATO has paved the way to their mentality of confrontation. Since the end of the Cold War, Russia’s pursuit for major power status has intensified its mindset to transform the international order, coupled with the "return of geothinking" in international politics in recent years, which has affected the development of the Russia-NATO relationship and intensified the tensions between them.

关 键 词：欧洲 安全格局 俄罗斯 北约 乌克兰危机 

分 类 号：D815[政治法律—国际关系]