经济新常态下科技创新与区域经济增长的互动关系研究——基于省级面板数据的联立方程模型分析  

Research On The Interactive Relationship Between Scientific And Technological Innovation And Regional Economic Growth Under The New Normal——Analysis Of Simultaneous Equations Based On Provincial Panel Data

作　　者：杜两省[1] 胡海洋 Du Liangsheng;Hu Haiyang

机构地区：[1]东北财经大学经济学院

出　　处：《经济问题探索》2019年第8期1-8,共8页Inquiry Into Economic Issues

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目“中国西部包容性与可持续性工业化发展路径研究”(17CJY026)，项目负责人:王晓姝

摘　　要：本文基于1999-2016年31个省份的面板数据,运用联立方程模型对科技创新与区域经济增长的互动关系进行了计量检验,进而分析了不同地区产生不同互动效应的原因。结果表明:科技创新与区域经济增长之间相互促进的良好互动只在东部地区出现,而中西部及东北地区这种良性互动都没显现。因此,总体来看,科技创新对我国总体经济增长的促进作用并不理想。为实现科技创新与各地区经济增长的良好互动,欠发达地区在选择地区主导产业和创新领域时不应急于追赶发达地区,而应基于自身优势合理选择发展路径,并积极补足短板。Based on the panel data of 31 provinces from 1999 to 2016 , this paper USES the simultaneous equation model to test the interactive relationship between technological innovation and regional economic growth, and then analyzes the reasons for different interaction effects in different regions. The results show that there is a positive interaction between technological innovation and regional economic growth in the eastern region, while the positive interaction between the central and western regions and the northeastern region is not obvious. Therefore, in general, scientific and technological innovation is not ideal to promote Chinas overall economic growth. In order to achieve a good interaction between scientific and technological innovation and regional economic growth , less developed regions should not rush to catch up with developed regions in choosing leading industries and innovation fields, but should rationally choose development paths based on their own advantages and make up for their shortcomings.

关 键 词：科技创新 经济增长 联立方程模型 互动关系 

分 类 号：F204[经济管理—国民经济]