基于VAR模型的海洋科技创新与海洋经济增长的互动关系研究  

Research on the Interaction between Marine Science and Technology Innovation and Marine Economic Growth Based on VAR Model

作　　者：杜军 赵培阳[1] 寇佳丽 DU Jun;ZHAO Peiyang;KOU Jiali(School of Management,Guangdong Ocean University,Zhanjiang Guangdong 524088,China;Maritime Silk Road Research Institute of ASEAN Research Institute,Guangdong Ocean University,Zhanjiang Guangdong 524088,China)

机构地区：[1]广东海洋大学管理学院,广东湛江524088 [2]广东海洋大学东盟研究院海上丝绸之路研究所,广东湛江524088

出　　处：《生态经济》2019年第9期61-67,共7页Ecological Economy

基　　金：广东省哲学社会科学“十三五”规划2016年度项目“‘一带一路’战略下我国沿海省份基础设施投资效率及其综合效应研究”（GD16XYJ07）;广东海洋大学2017年度创新强校工程项目（重大科研项目培育计划）“中国与21世纪海上丝绸之路沿线主要国家水产品贸易合作及政策研究”（GDOU2017052613）;广东海洋大学优秀科研团队建设项目“面向21世纪海上丝绸之路的海洋经济与管理研究团队”（GDOU2016030502）

摘　　要：海洋科技创新是海洋经济发展的核心动力,作为海洋经济发展的引擎,海洋科技创新对推动海洋经济快速发展,建设海洋强国具有十分重要的作用。文章选取1996—2014年我国海洋科技创新与海洋经济增长的数据,利用VAR模型对海洋科技创新与海洋经济增长的互动关系进行了实证分析。研究表明:海洋科技创新与海洋经济增长存在长期均衡关系;从整体来说,海洋科技创新是海洋经济增长的格兰杰原因,然而海洋经济增长并非是海洋科技创新的格兰杰原因;从具体来讲,海洋科技成果应用不是海洋经济增长的格兰杰原因;当前需要加大海洋科技成果的转化,推动海洋经济的发展。Marine science and technology innovation is the core driving force of marine economic development.As an engine of marine economic development,marine science and technology innovation plays an important role in promoting the rapid development of marine economy and building a powerful marine country.This paper selects the data of marine science and technology innovation and marine economic growth from 1996 to 2014 in China,and empirically analyzes the interaction between marine science and technology innovation and marine economic growth by using VAR model.The Research shows that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between marine science and technology innovation and marine economic growth;on the whole,marine science and technology innovation is the Granger cause of marine economic growth,while marine economic growth is not the Granger cause of marine science and technology innovation;specifically speaking,the application of marine scientific and technological achievements is not the Granger cause of marine economic growth;At present,it is necessary to increase the transformation of marine scientific and technological achievements and promote the development of the marine economy.

关 键 词：海洋科技创新 海洋经济增长 向量自回归模型 脉冲响应函数 协整 

分 类 号：F061[经济管理—政治经济学]