要素配置优化引发的经济结构变迁效应研究  

Research on The Economic Structure Change Caused by The Optimization of Factor Allocation

作　　者：梁洪基 傅春杨 陆江源 Liang Hongji;Fu Chunyang;Lu Jiangyuan

机构地区：[1]中国社会科学院人口与劳动经济研究所,北京100732 [2]北京大学光华管理学院,北京100871 [3]中国宏观经济研究院经济研究所,北京100038

出　　处：《经济问题探索》2019年第9期1-8,共8页Inquiry Into Economic Issues

摘　　要：随着中国经济迈入新常态,大规模工业化接近尾声,难以继续通过剌激制造业投资来提振增速。从而,改善结构条件,提高市场配置的配置效率,有望成为未来经济增长的核心动力。既往的研究主要侧重分析要素配置效率改善对产出水平的影响,使用的是静态的研究,而缺少要素配置对产出增速影响的研究。本文通过构建带有结构变迁的扭曲核算模型,研究了行业投入产出背景下的中国要素配置效率改进对本国产业结构和增速变动的影响,并分长短期判断了其瓶颈部门。本文的主要发现有:构造了一个合理的指标,来判断行业间要素配置效率差异对增速的影响;发现中国服务业的要素配置效率低于制造业,且消除服务业的配置差异,可以较大的提高增速和改变产出;自2007年开始,中国服务业内的配置效率损失中,金融业的占比增大,其逐渐成为了经济中的瓶颈部门。Large - scale industrialization is coming to the end with Chinese economy entering the new normal. It has been harder to increment growth rate by Stimulating investment in manufacturing industry. It is a possible engine of growth to improve the economic structure and factor allocation efficiency. However, only static model has been discussed by the former researches, the impact of improvement on factor allocation efficiency under the structural change situation has not been depicted. One structural change model with input - output table and factor allocation wedges is analyzed in this paper. Both impact on the gross output and growth rate by an improvement in the factor allocation efficiency used in a specific industry has been described. The main contributions are:( 1) construct an index to show whether the change in factor allocation efficiency could raise the growth rate;(2) find the factor allocation efficiency in service sector is much lower than that in manufacture sector, and eliminate the wedges in service sector can highlight the gross output and growth rate;(3) since 2008 , the factor allocation efficiency in finance sector has been lower, and by now the finance sector is the bottom - neck sector in China.

关 键 词：结构变迁 投入产出结构 要素配置效率 

分 类 号：F061.2[经济管理—政治经济学]