杭州市土地资源综合承载力评价及耦合协调性研究  

Study on Evaluation and Coupled Coordination of Comprehensive Carrying Capacity of Land Resources in Hangzhou City

作　　者：赵伟 姜长军[2] 李贻学[2] ZHAO Wei;JIANG Changjun;LI Yixue(School of Economics and Management,Hangzhou Normal University,Hangzhou 310000,China;College of Resources and Environment,Shandong Agricultural University,Tai′an 271000,China)

机构地区：[1]杭州师范大学经济与管理学院,杭州310000 [2]山东农业大学资源与环境学院,山东泰安271000

出　　处：《湖北民族学院学报（自然科学版）》2019年第3期345-352,共8页Journal of Hubei Minzu University(Natural Science Edition)

基　　金：杭州师范大学校级课题项目(2018YCYB07)

摘　　要：基于“经济-社会-生态环境”研究框架构建杭州市土地综合承载力指标体系,并通过改进的均方差TOPSIS模型、障碍度模型及耦合协调模型,对杭州市2007-2016年土地综合承载力进行了综合评价.研究结果表明:2007-2016年,杭州市土地综合承载力呈波动降低态势,承载力级别呈现良好转向中级的趋势.2007-2016年,承载力子系统障碍度从大到小依次是生态环境承载力系统、社会承载力系统和经济承载力系统.2007-2016年杭州市耦合度和耦合协调协调度变化态势呈现差异性,其中耦合度处于高水平耦合阶段,但协调度评价结果距离优质协调仍有着不小的差距.Based on the research framework of Economic-Social-Ecological Environment,this paper constructs the comprehensive land bearing capacity index system of Hangzhou,and improves the comprehensive land carrying capacity of Hangzhou from 2007 to 2016 through the improved mean square error TOPSIS model,obstacle model and coupling coordination model.A comprehensive evaluation was conducted.The results show that from 2007 to 2016,the comprehensive land carrying capacity of Hangzhou City showed a trend of volatility,and the carrying capacity level showed a good trend of turning to the intermediate level.From 2007 to 2016,the obstacles of the bearing capacity subsystem from the largest to the small are the ecological environment carrying capacity system,the social carrying capacity system,and the economic carrying capacity system.Between 2007 and 2016,the change trend of coupling degree and coupling coordination degree in Hangzhou showed a difference,in which the coupling degree was in the high level coupling stage,but the coordination degree evaluation result still had a big gap from the quality coordination.

关 键 词：土地综合承载力 经济-社会-生态环境 障碍度因素 耦合协调模型 

分 类 号：C93[经济管理—管理学]