中国在“一带一路”沿线的产业融合程度及地位:行业比较、地区差异及关联因素  

China’s Level and Status of Industry Convergence in the Belt and Road Initiative: Industry Comparisons, Regional Gaps and Associated Factors

作　　者：姚星[1] 王博[1] 蒲岳 吴钢[2] 王磊[3] YAO Xing;PU Yue;WU Gang;WANG Bo;WANG Lei(School of International Business,Southwestern University of Finance and Economics;The Administrative Bureau of Chinese Academy of Science)

机构地区：[1]西南财经大学国际商学院、西南财经大学四川自由贸易试验区综合研究院,611130 [2]西南财经大学国际商学院,611130 [3]中国科学院行政管理局新技术产业处,100086

出　　处：《经济研究》2019年第9期172-186,共15页Economic Research Journal

基　　金：教育部人文社科项目(19XJA790003、19XJC790013);国家自然科学基金项目(71503213);西南财经大学创新团队项目(JBK170504);西南财经大学四川自由贸易试验区综合研究院的资助

摘　　要："一带一路"倡议重在推动沿线国家进行高水平的经济融合,而其关键点之一是国家间在产业层面进行交融互动和协同发展。本文将传统产业融合拓展到国际层面,利用EoraMRIO数据库的多区域投入产出数据,从社会网络视角分析中国在"一带一路"沿线的产业融合程度和地位,并探讨其关联因素。研究结果表明:"一带一路"沿线国家间产业融合的广度和深度不断提升,产业融合互动的经济圈不断发展壮大;在"一带一路"沿线,中国的产业融合程度和地位呈增长态势,但表现出"外向支撑力强、内向引进力弱"的发展不平衡问题;并且,中国的劳动密集型及资本密集型制造业和生产性服务业的外向支撑地位较高,而资源需求型产业则是内向引进地位较高。中国在"一带一路"沿线的产业融合程度及地位受共同语言、经济制度差异、政治制度差异、自由贸易协定、产业链关联、国家产业发展合力等因素的影响。The coordinated development of China and countries along the Belt and Road Initiative (B&R) through upstream and downstream industrial chains and related industries is the key to a high-level and in-depth promotion of B&R economic integration.However,current research on industry convergence is limited to the discussion of the relations between different industries in one country.Therefore,it is necessary to extend industry convergence from the domestic to the international level when analyzing the development of industry convergence of countries along the B&R. This paper expands research on industry convergence in two ways.First,the narrow concept of industry convergence is extended to a broader concept of industry convergence.The traditional narrow concept of industry convergence only focuses on inter-industry relations in a country and emphasizes the division of industrial boundaries,which is difficult to expand to analyze international industrial problems.The extended concept of industry convergence refers to industrial interactions between countries and emphasizes cooperative behavior and supportive relations between countries and industries.Second,we apply the traditional measure of domestic industry convergence to the analysis of international industry convergence.The traditional measure of industry convergence is mainly based on the correlation between industries,technological or business relationships,input and output relationships,and interaction relationships between firms.We combine the input-output method with the social network analysis method to build a network of country-industry relations and study the evolution of international industry convergence through the overall structure and status change in the network. Accordingly,this paper mainly uses the input-output data of 25 industries and 61 countries along the B&R from 1995 to 2013 obtained from the Eora MIRO database,with "country-industry" as nodes and "country-industry" input-output relations as edges,to build a directed and weighted B&R indus

关 键 词："一带一路" 国际产业融合 投入产出表 社会网络 

分 类 号：F125[经济管理—世界经济]