我国产业结构与就业结构演进及动态测度  

Evolution and Dynamic Measurement of Industrial Structure and Employment Structure in China

作　　者：徐波 汪波[3] 朱琳[4] Xu Bo;Wang Bo;Zhu Lin(Center for Modem Service Industry of Zhejiang Province,Zhejiang Shuren University,Hangzhou 310015,China;Institute of Statistics and Mathematics,Zhejiang Gongshang University,Hangzhou 310018,China;School of Economics,Central University of Finance and Economics,Beijing 100081, China;Postal Saving Bank of China Beijing Branch,Beijing 100000,China)

机构地区：[1]浙江树人大学浙江省现代服务业研究中心,杭州310015 [2]浙江工商大学统计与数学学院,杭州310018 [3]中央财经大学经济学院,北京100081 [4]中国邮政储蓄银行北京分行,北京100000

出　　处：《统计与决策》2019年第18期121-125,共5页Statistics & Decision

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(71663055);浙江树人大学人才引进项目(2017R008);浙江树人大学青年学术团队项目(浙树办科[2018]4号)

摘　　要：文章在回顾1978-2017年我国产业结构与就业结构演进历程的基础上,运用摩尔结构变化值法测度了产业结构与就业结构变动度。结果表明:无论是两者演进历程还是波动度,大体均可分为三个阶段,产业结构变动度和就业结构变动度的均值分别为1.67度和1.41度;同时就业结构总体滞后于产业结构,产业结构经历了三种类型而就业结构经历了四种,基于双重二元结构与制度变迁假说阐释了上述变化特征。On the basis of reviewing the evolution of industrial structure and employment structure in China from 1978 to 2017, this paper uses the method of mole structural changing value to measure the change degree of industrial structure and employment structure. The results show that both the evolution and volatility can be roughly divided into three stages, with the mean values of industrial structure and employment structure changing range respectively to be 1.67 and 1.41;at the same time, the overall employment structure lags behind industrial structure, which has gone through three types, but employment structure has experienced four types.

关 键 词：产业结构 就业结构 摩尔结构变化值 双重二元结构 制度变迁 

分 类 号：F061.3[经济管理—政治经济学]