沈阳市大气PM2.5污染风险评估与应对  

Risk Assessment and Response of Atmospheric PM2.5 Pollution in Shenyang

作　　者：赵帝 刘光聪[1,3] 王帆 王帅[4] 卞思思 刘岩[1,2] 李一倬[1,2] 王维宽 ZHAO Di;LIU Guangcong;WANG Fan;WANG Shuai;BIAN Sisi;LIU Yan;LI Yizhuo;WANG Weikuan(Shenyang Academy of Environmental Sciences,Shenyang 110167,China;Liaoning Provincial Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Environmental Pollution Prevention and Control,Shenyang 110167,China;Liaoning Provincial Key Laboratory of Urban Ecology,Shenyang 110167,China;Shenyang Environmental Monitoring Centre,Shenyang 110167,China)

机构地区：[1]沈阳环境科学研究院,辽宁沈阳110167 [2]辽宁省城市大气环境污染防治重点实验室,辽宁沈阳110167 [3]辽宁省城市生态重点实验室,辽宁沈阳110167 [4]沈阳市环境监测中心站,辽宁沈阳110167

出　　处：《环境保护科学》2019年第5期69-78,共10页Environmental Protection Science

基　　金：国家重点研发计划(2017YFC0212500);沈阳市科技计划项目(17-179-9-00)基金资助

摘　　要：文章通过分析沈阳市2014~2017年的环境监测、气象观测、死因监测等数据,利用调整过的广义相加模型,研究了沈阳市大气PM2.5浓度与呼吸系统人群死亡率之间的关联关系;基于概率风险的基本原理,评估了当前沈阳市面临的大气PM2.5污染风险。结果显示,沈阳市大气PM2.5浓度处于36~75μg/m^3区间时,污染风险值最高。根据风险评估结果,文章从政府和公众的角度,提出了沈阳市大气PM2.5污染风险应对措施建议。To study the relationship between atmospheric PM 2.5 concentration and mortality rate of respiratory system population in Shenyang,the data of air quality monitoring,meteorological observation and death cause monitoring in Shenyang from 2014 to 2017 were analysized,and the adjusted generalized additive model was also used in this paper.Based on the basic principle of probability risk,the atmospheric PM 2.5 pollution risk faced by Shenyang city was assessed.The results showed that the pollution risk value was the highest when the atmospheric PM 2.5 concentration in Shenyang was in the range of 36 to 75 μg/m^3.According to the results of risk assessment,the countermeasures for the atmospheric PM 2.5 pollution risk in Shenyang were proposed in this paper,from the perspective of the government and the public.

关 键 词：大气污染 风险管理 PM2.5 死亡率 呼吸系统疾病 

分 类 号：X513[环境科学与工程—环境工程]