粤港澳大湾区区域经济与物流的协同度评价——对粤港澳大湾区物流投入的启示  

Evaluation of Synergy of Regional Economy and Regional Logistics in Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area:Enlightenment to Logistics Investment

作　　者：万艳春[1] 何昱廷 胡雨鋆 Wan Yanchun;He Yuting;Hu Yujun(South China University of Technology,Guangzhou 510006,China)

机构地区：[1]华南理工大学经济与贸易学院

出　　处：《科技管理研究》2019年第20期45-52,共8页Science and Technology Management Research

基　　金：广州市哲学社会科学发展“十三五”规划智库项目“粤港澳大湾区港口群分工协作研究”(2017GZZK57);华南理工大学本科特色课程“配送中心设计与管理”(x2jm-Y9182150)

摘　　要：通过构建区域经济与区域物流协同关系DEA分析模型,对粤港澳大湾区整体在2005-2016年间区域物流与区域经济的协同度进行评价,结果表明粤港澳大湾区区域经济与区域物流的协同度在2005-2012年处于下降状态,在2012-2016年期间,此协同度处于持续上升的趋势。最后利用MATLAB进行仿真分析,探究使粤港澳大湾区协同度最优的物流投入策略,为政府物流投资决策提供对策建议。This study constructs the DEA model of regional economy and regional logistics to evaluate the synergy of regional logistics and regional economy in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area between 2005 to 2016. The results show that the synergy between regional economy and regional logistics was declining from 2005 to 2012, and this synergy changed to rise from 2012 to 2016. Finally, with the help of MATLAB to carry out simulation analysis to explore the logistics investment strategy that can optimizes the synergy in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, and provide countermeasures and suggestions for government to make logistics investment decisions.

关 键 词：DEA 区域经济 区域物流 条件广义方差极小法 MATLAB 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济] F259.27