福建省物流水平与进出口贸易实证研究  

An Empirical Study on Logistics Level and Import and Export Trade in Fujian Province under the Belt and Road Initiative

作　　者：苏丽军[1] SU Li-jun

机构地区：[1]漳州职业技术学院经济管理学院

出　　处：《漳州职业技术学院学报》2019年第3期71-75,共5页Journal of Zhangzhou Institute of Technology

摘　　要："一带一路"倡议为福建省对外贸易快速发展带来了巨大机遇,进出口贸易与物流发展水平密切相关。以2007-2018年福建省18个主要贸易伙伴的进出口贸易额,福建省物流发展水平研究为样本,利用拓展贸易引力模型,在进行单位根和协整检验后,用广义最小二乘法回归结果发现,福建省港口发展、公路运输有效地促进福建省对外贸易发展,铁路运输作用还没有充分显现,亚太经合组织、东盟组织、"一带一路"倡议积极推动福建省贸易额增长。The "One Belt, One Road" initiative has brought tremendous opportunities for the rapid development of Fujian’s foreign trade and the import and export trade is closely related to the level of logistics development.This paper takes the import and export trade volume of 18 major trading partners of Fujian Province in 2007-2018, the logistics development level of Fujian Province as the research sample and uses the generalized least squares method after unit root and cointegration test by applying the extended trade gravity model. The results of the regression show that Fujian’s port development and road transportation have effectively promoted its development of foreign trade, and the role of railway transportation has not yet fully manifested. APEC, ASEAN and the "Belt and Road" policy have actively promoted the growth of trade volume in Fujian Province.

关 键 词：“一带一路” 物流水平 进出口贸易 

分 类 号：F259.2[经济管理—国民经济]