食品价格波动对城镇居民消费支出的影响——基于安徽省的实证研究  

The Influence of Food Price on the Consumption of UrbanResidents——An empirical study based on Anhui Province

作　　者：马小涵 Ma Xiao-han(Anhui University,Hefei Anhui 230601)

机构地区：[1]安徽大学

出　　处：《河西学院学报》2019年第5期78-84,共7页Journal of Hexi University

基　　金：安徽大学区域经济与城市发展协同创新中心开放招标项目（项目编号：QYXT2017041）

摘　　要：文章基于1995-2017年相关数据,首先纵向分析安徽省食品价格波动的整体走向,结果表明食品价格指数与居民消费价格指数波动趋势大致相同并且波动幅度逐渐减小,趋于稳定;接着利用2016年的相关数据对城镇居民消费进行ELES的横向实证分析,结果表明城镇居民的边际消费倾向为46.50%,低收入群体的基本生活得到了保障,与此同时,食品价格的波动也在不同程度上影响着其它类型的消费.最后根据1999-2016年度的相关时间序列数据进行动态分析,得出食品价格对居民消费结构影响程度较高.针对分析结果,文章提出有利于促进健康消费、经济协调发展的相关政策建议.This paper first vertically analyzed the overall trend of food price fluctuations in Anhui province based on relevant data from 1995 to 2017.The results show that the food price index and consumers’price index have roughly the same fluctuation trend,and the fluctuation range gradually decreases and tends to be stable.Then,the data of Anhui in 2016 is used to analyze the consumption of urban residents in ELES and it is found that the marginal consumption tendency of urban residents in Anhui is 46.50%,and the basic life of low-income groups isguaranteed.At the same time,thefood price fluctuationshave different impact on other consumptions.According to the dynamic analysis of relevant data from 1999 to2016,it is concluded that food prices has great impact on the residents'consumption structure.According to the results of the analysis,the article puts forward the relevant policy and suggestions to promote healthy consumption,coordinated development of economy.

关 键 词：食品价格波动 居民消费需求 ELES模型 

分 类 号：F0[经济管理—政治经济学]