机构地区:[1]南昌大学第一附属医院感染科,南昌330006 [2]南昌大学第一附属医院病理科,南昌330006
出 处:《实用临床医学(江西)》2019年第9期4-7,I0001,共5页Practical Clinical Medicine
摘 要:目的依据临床及血清学结果,构建一个可用于诊断慢性乙型肝炎患者肝纤维化的无创模型。方法回顾性研究行肝活检术的61例慢性乙型肝炎患者的临床资料,分析26项常见的临床及血清指标,如体质量、性别、年龄、血生化、乙型肝炎病毒学标志物、凝血功能、HBV-DNA、甲胎蛋白、血常规等变量。选取与肝纤维化独立相关的变量,创立一个肝纤维化的诊断模型,采用受试者工作特点曲线(ROC)评估对肝纤维化诊断的价值,并与其他无创模型(GRR、FCI)比较其对慢性乙型肝炎显著性(S2—S4)及进展性(S3—S4)肝纤维化的诊断能力。结果γ-谷胺酰转肽酶(GGT)及碱性磷酸酶(ALP)、白蛋白(Alb)与肝纤维化程度变化均有统计学意义,P<0.05。GGT、ALP与肝纤维化变化呈正性相关,相关系数分别为0.423、0.332;而Alb与肝纤维化分期呈负性相关关系,相关系数为-0.337,根据双因素逐步分析得出只有Alb和GGT与肝纤维化程度相关(P=0.008,P=0.001),并建立一个由GGT、Alb组成的模型——GA,并得出GA=3.231+0.046×GGT-0.070×Alb。对于显著性肝纤维化,GA、GPR、FCI模型曲线下面积分别为0.776(95%CI0.643~0.908)、0.774(95%CI0.635~0.913)和0.690(95%CI0.550~0.831),其敏感度、特异度、截断值分别为75.00%、82.90%、0.58,65.00%、87.80%、0.53和95.00%、36.60%、0.32;对于进展性肝纤维化,GA、GPR、FCI模型曲线下面积分别为0.855(95%CI0.726~0.984)、0.769(95%CI0.610~0.928)和0.709(95%CI0.564~0.854),其敏感度、特异度、截断值分别为90.90%、76.00%、0.67,63.60%、90.00%、0.54和90.90%、46.00%、0.37。结论GA模型对慢性乙型肝炎肝纤维化具有一定的诊断价值。Objective To construct a non-invasive model for the diagnosis of liver fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B based on clinical and serological results. Methods Clinical data of 61 patients with chronic hepatitis B who underwent liver biopsy were retrospectively studied to analyze the 26 common clinical and serum indicators,such as body weight,gender,age,blood biochemistry,hepatitis B virological markers,coagulation function,HBV-DNA,alpha fetal protein,blood routine and other variables.Liver fibrosis-related variables were selected to establish a diagnostic model.The receiver operating characteristic curve(ROC) was used to evaluate the diagnostic value.The abilities to diagnose significant fibrosis(S2-S4) and progressive fibrosis(S3-S4) were compared with other non-invasive models(GRR and FCI). Results The gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase(GGT) and alkaline phosphatase(ALP) were positively correlated with liver fibrosis,and the correlation coefficients were 0.423 and 0.332,respectively.The albumin(Alb) was negatively related to liver fibrosis,and the correlation coefficient was -0.337.According to the two-factor stepwise analysis,only Alb and GGT were associated with liver fibrosis( P=0.008 and 0.001,respectively).Furthermore,a model GA consisting of GGT and Alb was established,and GA=3.231+0.046×GGT-0.070×Alb was obtained.For significant fibrosis,the areas under the GA,GPR,and FCI model curves were 0.776(95.00% CI 0.643-0.908),0.774(95.00% CI 0.635- 0.913 ) and 0.690(95.00% CI 0.550-0.831), respectively .The sensitivity,specificity and cutoff value were,respectively,75.00%,82.90% and 0.58 for GA,65.00%,87.80% and 0.53 for GPR,and 95.00%,36.60% and 0.32 for FCI.For progressive fibrosis,the areas under the GA,GPR and FCI model curves were 0.855(95.00% CI 0.726- 0.984),0.769(95.00% CI 0.610-0.928) and 0.709(95.00% CI 0.564-0.854),respectively.The sensitivity,specificity and cutoff value were,respectively,90.90%,76.00% and 0.67 for GA, 63.60%,90.00% and 0.54 for GPR,and 90.90%,46.00% and 0.37 for FCI. Conclusio
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