苏南地区典型乡村空间结构演变过程中驱动因子及其影响量化分析  

Quantitative Analysis of Driving Factors and Their Influences in the Spatial Structure Evolution of Typical Villages in Southern Jiangsu Province

作　　者：刘静萍 徐小东[2] LIU Jingping;XU Xiaodong

机构地区：[1]哈佛大学设计学院 [2]东南大学建筑学院

出　　处：《西部人居环境学刊》2019年第5期40-48,共9页Journal of Human Settlements in West China

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目（51678127）;国家“十二五”科技支撑计划课题（2013BAJ10B13）;北京未来城市设计高精尖创新中心项目（UDC2016010100）;国家留学基金委资助项目（CSC#201706095035、 201706090250）

摘　　要：新型城镇化背景下中国城乡经济基础和社会状况发生了根本性转变,目前出现的日趋严峻的"大国空村""乡村衰败"的现象与趋势亟须引起关注与重视.论文通过分析梳理,凝练出乡村空间结构演变的三类驱动因子,采用层次分析法对这些复杂因子展开分解与重构,以城郊发展型、平原水网型和山地资源型三种典型乡村为例,构建各驱动因子影响权重值的变化曲线以及2005—2015十年间乡村空间结构的演变图景,尝试揭示两者之间的内在相关性并对其影响进行量化评析,以期为乡村空间结构演变与发展提供科学预判.In the context of new-type urbanization, Chinese urban-rural economic foundation and social conditions have been going through radical changes. There are many hollow villages that are with the risk of extinction in rural areas and the rural decline truly needs serious attention and study in the country. To scientifically predict and judge the development trends and possible directions for different types of villages, apart from doing researches on their current situations, there is also a need for intensive research on their longitudinal evolution. Besides, the rise and application of interdisciplinary research and the new-type quantitative analysis method have offered new ideas for the rural study in China. Based on the comprehensive theoretical research and practice summary, three types of driving factors that have been affecting the evolution of rural spatial structure are extracted first, namely, the geographical environment, the social economy and the policy factor. To specify, the geographical environment mainly refers to the explicit factors at the rural material level, both natural factors and artificial built environmental factors included. The social economy, on the other hand, refers to the intrinsic factors at the rural immaterial level. And the policy factor refers to the external mandatory intervention on the overall development of the village at the government level, which appears the latest but with the greatest impact among the three types of driving factors. In reality, there are many subsets for these three types of driving factors. In order to analyze these driving factors more concretely while ensuring the comprehensiveness of the research, and in consideration of the overall characteristics of villages in southern Jiangsu Province at the same time, eight of them are selected in this paper, namely, topography and the traffic and road in the first category, industrial transformation, family composition, construction technology, and production and life style in the second category, and land pol

关 键 词：乡村空间结构 量化评价 驱动因子 演变规律 层次分析法 

分 类 号：TU984[建筑科学—城市规划与设计]