CBA联赛制胜技战术指标的探讨分析  

Discussion and Analysis of The Winning Technique and Tactics Index in CBA League

作　　者：郭宇 贾谊 GUO Yu;JIA Yi(School of Physical and Education,North University of China,Taiyuan Shanxi,030051)

机构地区：[1]中北大学体育学院

出　　处：《湖北体育科技》2019年第10期925-931,共7页Hubei Sports Science

摘　　要：运用文献资料法和数理统计法等研究方法,对2017~2018赛季C BA联赛的760场常规赛和75场季后赛共835场比赛的各项技战术指标进行了统计,并通过计算得出部分无法直观体现的进阶数据,对其与常规赛排名进行了Pearson相关系数分析和逐步回归分析,从而综合两种分析方法来分析制胜技战术指标。结果显示:Pearson分析法中进攻指标与排名相关的指标依次为进攻效率-真实命中率-命中率-有效命中率-场均得分-场均投篮命中,回归分析法中则为进攻效率与场均得分;Pearson分析法中防守指标与排名相关的指标依次为防守效率-限制对手命中率-限制对手得分-限制对手三分命中率-场均篮板-场均抢断-场均防守篮板,回归分析中仅有防守效率;违规指标与排名相关的指标仅有失误一项,但回归分析中没有对排名有贡献的指标;出手比重和得分比重与排名无显著相关性,但对于防守安排仍有指导意义。By using the methods of literature and mathematical statistics, the technical and tactical indexes of 760 regular season and75 playoffs in the CBA League in 2017 to 2018 were counted. Through calculating some advanced data that cannot be directly reflect-ed, Pearson correlation coefficient analysis and stepwise regression analysis are carried out to analyze the winning technical and tacti-cal indicators by combining the two analysis methods. The results showed that in Pearson analysis, the indexes related to the attack index and ranking are attack efficiency, real hit rate, hit rate, effective hit rate, field average score and field average shot, and in regression analysis, attack efficiency and field average score. In Pearson analysis, the defense indexes and ranking indexes are defense efficiency-limit opponent’s hit rate-limit opponent’s score-limit opponent’s three-point hit rate-field average rebounds-field average steals-field average defensive rebounds. In regression analysis, only defense efficiency is found. There is only one fault between the non-compliance index and the ranking related index, but there is no index contributing to the ranking in the regression analysis. The proportion of shooting and scoring has no significant correlation with ranking, but it still has guiding significance for defensive arrangement.

关 键 词：CBA联赛 制胜因素 技战术指标 相关性分析 回归分析 

分 类 号：G841[文化科学—体育训练]