中国国际收支的超前结构:特征、形成原因、变动趋势和调整方向  

The Premature Structure of China's International Balance of Payment

作　　者：杨柳勇[1] 

机构地区：[1]浙江大学经济学院金融系,310027

出　　处：《世界经济》2002年第11期11-18,共8页The Journal of World Economy

摘　　要：20世纪90年代以来,中国的国际收支取得了持续顺差,顺差的主要来源或是金融账户或是经常账户,但趋向于经常账户。从目前趋势看中国有提前形成“新债权国”的可能,也就是说国际收支结构已经具有超前特征。这种变化将影响中国未来的对外经济发展格局和政策走势。本文分析了中国超前性国际收支结构的组合状况、特征、形成原因、变动趋势和调整方向。China has kept current account surplus of balance of payments for more than 10 years. It means China's balance of payments structure is pre-structure: A poor country like China is actually lending to other countries. This means in China the balance of payments structure is ahead of schedule and differs from most developing countries. China has likely entered into a phase of 'new creditor Country'. The characteristic, reason, and trend of the pre-structure of the balance of payments in China were discussed in the paper. Some suggestions were also put forward.

关 键 词：中国 形成原因 超前结构 变动趋势 调整方向 国际收支结构 债权国 贸易顺差 

分 类 号：F832.6[经济管理—金融学]