特朗普政府贸易保护主义政策冲击：中日韩FTA谈判的机遇与挑战  

Shock of Trade Protectionism Policy of the Trump Administration:Opportunities and Challenges of CJK FTA

作　　者：金香丹[1] 廉晓梅[1] JIN Xiang-dan;LIAN Xiao-mei

机构地区：[1]吉林大学东北亚研究院

出　　处：《东北亚论坛》2019年第5期92-101,128,共11页Northeast Asia Forum

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目（2017JJDGJW005）;吉林大学哲学社会科学重点研究基地项目（2018XXJD13）

摘　　要：中日韩FTA谈判启动以来,三国缺乏在敏感领域相互妥协的动力,谈判始终未能取得突破。特朗普政府执政后实施贸易保护主义政策,中日韩受到不同程度冲击,三国在抵御出口下降风险、缓解特朗普政府贸易谈判压力、维护区域一体化整体收益等方面的共同利益,使得中日韩FTA谈判出现新的机遇。然而,政治分歧、历史纷争对经济领域的外溢影响依然存在,中日韩对协定自由化水平的分歧,域外国家对一体化进程干扰等风险也使得中日韩FTA面临新的现实挑战。缔结中日韩FTA仍需各方持续共同努力,中国应在这一进程中发挥更加积极的作用。Since the China,Japan and Republic of Korea launched FTA negotiations,the three countries have lacked the motivation to compromise each other in sensitive areas,which led the FTA negotiations failed to make breakthroughs. After the Trump administration came to power,U.S. implemented trade protectionism policies,which resulted in loss of interests of China,Japan and the ROK. Under the trade protectionism,the three countries have shown common demands,such as cooperation to resist the risk of export decline,improving the bargaining power against the U.S.,and maintaining the overall benefits of regional integration, which has promoted the new opportunities to CJK FTA negotiations. However,the spillover effects of political and historical disputes,the disagree of three countries on the level of liberalization of the agreement,and the interference of outside countries also pose challenges to the CJK FTA. Concluding the CJK FTA still requires joint efforts of all parties,and China should play more active role in this process.

关 键 词：特朗普政府 贸易保护主义 中日韩FTA 利益损失 危机驱动 

分 类 号：F114.46[经济管理—国际贸易]