奶源过剩与紧缺的成因与对策  

Causes and Countermeasures of Dumping Milk and Scrambling for Milk

作　　者：花俊治[1] 周媛媛 陈昱帆 HUA Jun-zhi;ZHOU Yuan-yuan;CHEN Yu-fan(Henan Province Zhengzhou Breeding Farm,Zhengzhou 450008;Henan Agricultural University,Institute of Economics and Management,Zhengzhou 450046)

机构地区：[1]河南省郑州种畜场,郑州450008 [2]河南农业大学国际教育学院,郑州450046 [3]河南农业大学,郑州450046

出　　处：《中国奶牛》2019年第9期53-57,共5页China Dairy Cattle

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71271096);河南省教育厅人文社科项目(2017-ZZJH-232)

摘　　要：在我国奶业高速发展的近20年中,奶源过剩与紧缺现象时有发生,直接影响了奶业的健康发展。本文基于经济学视角系统梳理了导致奶业发展中出现的奶源过剩与紧缺现象的影响因素,并对奶源过剩与紧缺两种极端情况运用博弈理论解释了形成机理,并在此基础上提出了避免奶业危机事件发生的对策与建议。With the rapid development of Chinese dairy industry in nearly 20 years,there are continuous phenomena of dumping the milk and scrambling for the milk,which influence healthy development of dairy directly.Based on economic theory system,this paper analyzed the main factors of resulting in dumping milk and scrambling for milk.For the extreme situations of dumping milk and scrambling for milk,We apply game theory to explain the formation mechanism.Based on it,We put forward some corresponding suggestions and strategies to avoid critical incident of dairy industry.

关 键 词：奶业发展 奶源过剩 奶源紧缺 成因分析 

分 类 号：S8-1[农业科学—畜牧兽医]