页岩油勘探开发成本研究  

Study on the cost of shale oil exploration and development

作　　者：杨国丰[1] 周庆凡[1] 卢雪梅[1] Yang Guofeng;Zhou Qingfan;Lu Xuemei(Sinopec Petroleum Exploration&Production Research Institute)

机构地区：[1]中国石化石油勘探开发研究院

出　　处：《中国石油勘探》2019年第5期576-588,共13页China Petroleum Exploration

摘　　要：在系统研究美国页岩油勘探开发现状和页岩油公司经营情况的基础上,从勘探开发流程的角度,将美国页岩油成本分解为矿权购置、钻井、完井、基础设施和运营5个部分,分析了各类成本的构成和总体情况,以美国威利斯顿盆地巴肯页岩区为例对页岩油勘探开发成本做了估算,认为其目前的页岩油勘探开发成本在50美元/bbl左右。对中国陆相页岩油资源认识和勘探开发进展做了系统梳理,在中国与美国主要页岩油区地质条件对比的基础上,对中国建成百万吨页岩油年产量的投资和成本做了大致估算。结果表明,中国页岩油资源较丰富,是常规资源的重要接替,目前虽已突破页岩油出油关,但成本较高,尚未实现商业生产。不过,美国的发展经验表明,高成本是页岩油发展初期的必然阶段,中国页岩油行业未来仍有借助技术和管理创新大幅降本增效的空间,页岩油勘探开发也将迈向新的发展阶段。Based on the systematic study of the shale oil exploration and development and the operation of shale oil companies in the United States,the costs of shale oil are broken into mining right,well drilling,well completion,infrastructure and operation from the perspective of exploration and development process,and the composition and overall performance of every type of cost are analyzed.Taking the Bakken shale in the Williston Basin as a case,the estimated cost is around 50$/bbl.Then the continental shale oil resources and exploration and development progress in China are analyzed,and compared with the shale oil resources in the United States in terms of geological conditions.And finally,the investment and cost of yearly shale oil production of one million tons in China are estimated.The results show that shale oil resources are abundant in China,and are an important successor of conventional resources.Although shale oil has been produced,the cost is higher and commercial production has not yet achieved in China.The development experience of the United States shows that high cost is inevitable in early development.Technical advances and management innovation will reduce the cost and increase the production,and promote the exploration and development of shale oil to a new stage in China.

关 键 词：页岩油 勘探开发 成本 钻完井 陆相页岩油 

分 类 号：TE-93[石油与天然气工程]