国际能源价格变化对我国农产品价格的影响——基于贸易成本渠道  

The Impact of International Energy Prices on China′s Agricultural Products——Based on the Channels of Trade Cost

作　　者：尹靖华[1] YIN Jinghua(Zhejiang International Studies University,Hangzhou 310023,China)

机构地区：[1]浙江外国语学院

出　　处：《河南工程学院学报（社会科学版）》2019年第4期16-21,共6页Journal of Henan University of Engineering(Social Science Edition)

摘　　要：国际能源价格波动会导致我国农产品价格产生一定的波动,在Cosar模型基础上分析国际能源价格影响我国农产品价格的机制,并进行实证分析,可以得出如下结论:贸易成本下降导致进口商品相对价格下降,距离越远,国外农产品价格对国内农产品价格的传导效应越小。利用国际能源署数据库、中国国家统计局数据库、FAO农业生产数据库的数据,采用panel EGLS和panel LS估计国际能源价格对中国农产品价格的影响,结果表明:国际能源价格越高,空间距离越大,贸易成本越高,农产品价格越高。The change of international energy prices will cause that of China′s agricultural products.Based on the Cosar′s model,by analyzing the mechanism of international energy prices influencing China′s agricultural products and by corresponding empirical analysis,it can be concluded that the declining of trade cost causes the declining of the relative price of imported goods,and the foreign price will affect the domestic price less if the distance between countries is longer.With the data from International Energy Agency database,China National Research Network database,and FAO agricultural production database,the paper uses panel EGLS and panel LS to estimate the effect of international oil price on the agricultural products of China.The result shows that higher energy prices and the longer distance between countries lead to higher trade cost and higher prices of agricultural products.

关 键 词：国际能源价格 农产品价格 贸易成本 影响机制 

分 类 号：F752.65[经济管理—国际贸易]