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作 者:吕春燕 Lyu Chunyan(Information Engineering University,Strategic Support Force)
机构地区:[1]战略支援部队信息工程大学
出 处:《和平与发展》2019年第5期37-53,133,134,共19页Peace and Development
摘 要:自韩国总统文在寅上台执政以来,韩日两国围绕慰安妇受害者赔偿、强征劳工赔偿案、"雷达照射事件"及半导体原材料出口管制等问题纷争不断,其激烈程度从历史清算扩展至现实对抗,超出了以往双边关系的发展实践。此轮纷争既是韩日双边关系发展固有惯性的延续,更是源于半岛局势转圜背景下韩美日三边关系框架的某种失调。不仅导致韩日两国间的政策定位走低、社会认知恶化、交流互访减少以及产品销售受损等,还有可能损害全球贸易供应链,并对地区经济合作造成消极影响。展望未来,此轮纷争虽在短期内难以彻底消除,但韩日双边关系也尚不至于由此成为"死结"或是完全"失控"。Since the beginning of the Moon Jae-in administration,South Korea has been locked in serious disputes with Japan over issues relating to making compensations to South Korean comfort women and forced laborers by Japanese enterprises,radar targeting,and trade control by Japan on the export of semi-conductor materials to South Korea,whose intensity have extended beyond their normal practice of relations from"historical liquidation"to"realistic confrontation".The intensified disputes between South Korea and Japan have resulted not only from the old problems persisting in their relations,but also from the disorder occurred in the US-Japan-ROK relationship in the context of easing situation in the Korean Peninsula.The disputes have led to lowered policy orientation to each other between South Korea and Japan,deteriorating mutual social cognition,reduced communication and mutual visits,and losses of product sales,which are likely to exert negative impacts on the global trade supply chain and regional economic cooperation.Looking forward into the future,although this round of disputes between South Korea and Japan can hardly subside in a short-run,the bilateral relations between South Korea and Japan are not likely to enter a"dead knot"or"get out of control"completely.
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