东盟经济共同体与数字化商业时代：在两难之间  

ASEAN Economic Community and Digital Business Age: A Dilemma

作　　者：Е·А·勘纳耶夫 E.A.Kanaev(不详Е·А·勘纳耶夫)

机构地区：[1]俄罗斯国家研究型大学高等经济大学外国区域研究系

出　　处：《东南亚纵横》2019年第4期3-9,共7页Crossroads：Southeast Asian Studies

摘　　要：今天,人类已经快速迈进数字化商业时代。经济参与者的竞争力越来越取决于其能否捕捉到现实生活中的数字化机会。这里所说的经济参与者不仅包括公司,还有参与多边对话机制的世界各经济体,东盟(ASEAN)就是其中之一。在建立东盟经济共同体之后,东盟也渴望把握住这个机会,创造一个有利于开展数字化业务的商业环境。前不久发表的《东盟信息通信技术总体规划》和《东盟轮值主席国新加坡声明》都反映了东盟的这个意愿。本文面对的难题及研究的课题就是:为什么尽管东盟长久、持续且集中精力地提高商业吸引力,但作为第四次工业革命中的一个地缘单位,可能依旧难以成为数字化商业时代的受益者?虽然R·鲍德温(R.Baldwin)、H·V·维纳亚克(H.V.Vinayak)、F·汤普森(F.Thompson)、O·汤比(O.Tonby)和A·科第(A.Koty)等研究人员已经捕捉到了这个问题的选择面向,但迄今为止,在第四次工业革命的大背景下,特别是在数字化和大数据领域,如何加快东南亚、东盟的融入?这一议题尚未得到全面细致的分析。本文的研究方法结合了定性和定量法,而相关信息和数据的来源包括世界银行、国际复兴开发银行、东盟秘书处以及国际统计数据库发布的报告。本文研究的主要成果反映了即将到来的数字化商业时代与东南亚数字化商业环境特殊性之间的联系,同时强调了区域内长期发展顽疾和发展不平衡等因素对东南亚国家参与第四次工业革命的阻碍。Today,human beings have r apidly entered the digital business era. The competitiveness of economic participants increasingly depends on their ability to capture real-life digital opportunities. The economic participants mentioned here are not only companies,but also the world’s economies that participate in the multilateral dialogue,including the Association of Southeast Asian Nations(ASEAN). After the establishment of ASEAN economic community,ASEAN is eager to seize this opportunity to create a business environment conducive to digital business. The ASEAN ICT Master Plan and The Narrative of Singapore’s ASEAN Chairmanship both reflect ASEAN’s will. The challenge and research topic of this paper is:why ASEAN,as a geographical unit in the fourth industrial revolution,may not be the beneficiary of the digital business era despite its long-term,sustained and focused efforts to enhance commercial attractiveness?Although R.Baldwin,H.V.Vinayak,F.Thompson,O.Tonby,A.Koty and other researchers have captured selective aspects of this question,so far,in the context of the fourth industrial revolution,especially in the field of digitization and big data,how to accelerate the integration of southeast Asia and ASEAN? The issue has not been thoroughly and meticulously analyzed. The research method of this paper combines qualitative and quantitative methods,and sources of relevant information and data include reports issued by the World Bank,the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development,the ASEAN Secretariat,and the International Statistical Database. The main results of this paper reflect the connection between the coming digital business era and the particularity of the digital business environment in Southeast Asia,and highlight the obstacles of the regional long-term development deficiencies and imbalances to the participation of Southeast Asian countries in the fourth industrial revolution.

关 键 词：第四次工业革命 数字化商业 亚太区域经济一体化 东盟经济共同体 不平衡 

分 类 号：F113[经济管理—国际贸易]