面向低空空域协同管理的应急决策方法  

Emergency decision-making method for collaborative management of low-altitude airspace

作　　者：王增强 丁静 白松浩 王政书 WANG Zengqiang;DING Jing;BAI Songhao;WANG Zhengshu(School of Management,Xihua University,Chengdu Sichuan 610039,China;School of Public Affairs&Law,Southwest Jiaotong University,Chengdu Sichuan 610031,China;National Key Laboratory of Airspace Technology,Beijing 100085,China)

机构地区：[1]西华大学管理学院,四川成都610039 [2]西南交通大学公共管理与政法学院,四川成都610031 [3]国家空域技术重点实验室,北京100085

出　　处：《中国安全科学学报》2019年第7期177-182,共6页China Safety Science Journal

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助(51278429,71872153);西华大学2019年开放课题(JMRH201)

摘　　要：针对突发事件发生后低空应急救援多个部门协同作业的复杂性,提出基于多粒度语义短语的多部门协同应急决策模型。首先,决策部门使用语义短语表征评估对象的偏好信息,通过转换函数进行一致性转换,进而得到决策部门的相对重要度、部门之间的协同系数和关键指标的权重向量;然后,在考虑多部门协同的基础上,计算采用不同组合方案时各项关键指标的评估指数;其次,将所得到的评估指数和关键指标的权重向量集结,得到各个组合方案的综合评估指数,并据此确定最优的组合方案;最后,通过地震发生后低空应急救援的实例验证所提方法的有效性。结果表明:用所提出的协同决策模型,可以综合考虑评估环境的不确定性和多部门协同作业的相互影响,使决策过程和结果更符合实际。In view of the complexity of multi-department collaborative operations in low-altitude airspace emergency rescue,a multi-department emergency decision-making model based on multi-granularity linguistic information was presented.Firstly,multi-granularity linguistic phrases were employed to express the preference information,and some transformation functions were used to unify the multi-granular linguistic phrases into a uniform linguistic label set.The relative important degree of multiple departments,the cooperative coefficient between different departments and the weight vector of key attributes were obtained.Secondly,the evaluation indexes of key attributes with respect to each combination of alternations were determined considering multi-divisional cooperative.Thirdly,according to combination of evaluation indexes of combination alternatives and the weight vector of key attributes,the comprehensive evaluation value of each combination alternative was determined.Finally,a case study of low-altitude airspace emergency rescue after an earthquake was given to verify the feasibility of the proposed approach.The results show that the proposed collaborative decision-making model considers the uncertainty of the environment and the interaction of collaborative work at the same time,which makes the decision process and the outcomes more practical.

关 键 词：应急决策 低空空域 协同管理 多粒度语义短语 关键指标 

分 类 号：X913.4[环境科学与工程—安全科学]