中国省际入境旅游全要素生产率实证研究——基于产值与增加值测算的比较分析  

Empirical Study on Total Factor Productivity of Provincial Inbound Tourism in China——From Comparative Perspective between Tourism Output-value and Increment-value

作　　者：王俐[1] 周向红[1] 崔兆财 Wang Li;Zou Xianghong;Cui Zhaocai

机构地区：[1]同济大学经济与管理学院

出　　处：《经济问题探索》2019年第11期25-36,共12页Inquiry Into Economic Issues

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目“电子商务生态链减贫作用机理、实现路径及影响评估研究”(NSFC71473177)，主持人:周向红;上海市人民政府发展研究中心决策咨询项目“上海加速升级旅游消费对策研究”(2017-Z-E01)，主持人:周向红

摘　　要：本文在测算2004-2014年各省入境旅游增加值的基础上,运用SFA-Malquist指数模型从产值与增加值比较分析的视角对中国省际入境旅游产业效率进行评价。进一步地,通过配对T检验与相关性分析,探究产值替代增加值对入境旅游效率评价的实证影响及内在机理。结果表明:入境旅游全要素生产率呈技术进步驱动增长模式,但对现有技术利用不足,入境旅游高质量发展有待进一步提升;入境旅游全要素生产率呈东、中、西部依次递减分布,东部地区的纯技术效率和规模效率更高,中、西部地区则具有技术进步的后发优势;产值替代增加值在40%-66%的水平上放大了入境旅游经济规模,不仅显著影响纯技术效率与技术进步的样本均值,而且显著影响规模效率变动的线性分布,产生入境旅游全要素生产率评估的系统性误差,其背后源于旅游消费结构与旅游产业增加值率的推拉作用。Based on the calculation of provincial tourism increment-value from 2004 to 2014,this paper evaluates the Total Factor Productivity of Chinese provincial inbound tourism by using the SFA-Malquist Index Model from the comparative perspective between tourism output-value and increment-value.Furthermore,this paper explores the empirical impacts of increment-value substitution of output-value on the efficiency evaluation for the inbound tourism through paired T test and correlation analysis.The conclusions are as follows:First,the Total Factor Productivity of inbound tourism is driven by technological progress,but the existing technology of inbound tourism is insufficiently uti-lized.Second,eastern region of China has superiority in the Total Factor Productivity,Pure Technology Efficiency and Scale Efficiency,while the central and western China have late-development advantage in Technical Change.Third,substitution of tourism increment-value for tourism output-value enlarges the scale of inbound tourism in proportion of 40%to 66%,which not only significantly affects the average value of Pure Technology Efficiency and Technical Change,but also significantly affects the linear distribution of Scale Efficiency.It is the push-pull effect of tourism consumption structure and increment-value ratio that result in systematic errors in the efficiency evaluation of inbound tourism.

关 键 词：入境旅游 旅游增加值 全要素生产率 SFA-Malquist指数 高质量发展 

分 类 号：F590[经济管理—旅游管理] F592.99[经济管理—产业经济]