中国与周边国家地缘经济关系的双向互动分析  

Study on the mutual interaction of geo-economic relations between China and its neighboring countries

作　　者：熊琛然 王礼茂[1,2] 屈秋实 向宁[1,2] 王博 XIONG Chenran;WANG Limao;QU Qiushi;XIANG Ning;WANG Bo(Institute of Geographic Sci ences and Natural Resources Research,CAS,Bei jing 100101,China;College of Resources and Environment,University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100049,China)

机构地区：[1]中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,北京100101 [2]中国科学院大学资源与环境学院,北京10049

出　　处：《世界地理研究》2019年第5期11-23,共13页World Regional Studies

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(41971163,41561029);国家社科基金重大项目(16ZDA041)

摘　　要：贸易关系可用来刻画中国与周边国家地缘经济关系的双向互动。本文通过构建源-汇互动矩阵分析框架,借助商品贸易数据,从出口与进口两个断面,选取偏好率、市场占有率和集中度3个指标分析了中国与周边国家地缘经济关系双向互动时序变化。结果表明:①周边国家出口到中国偏好率整体上升,且高于中国出口到周边国家偏好率;②中国出口到周边国家市场占有率远高于周边国家出口到中国市场占有率;③周边国家从中国进口偏好率高于中国从周边国家进口偏好率,中国从周边国家进口的偏好率主要集中在周边发达国家以及部分东盟国家;④中国从周边国家进口市场占有率总体上呈增长趋势,且高于周边国家从中国进口市场占有率;⑤中国与周边国家地缘经济关系双向互动主要集中在日本、韩国和新加坡等发展经济体以及东盟中的经济发展水平较高国家。周边国家和地区经济发展水平差异巨大,需要进一步探讨中国与周边国家和地区的地缘经济合作差异和演化规律,服务于"一带一路"建设和提升"周边是首要"的地缘边际效应。The trade relations are critical to understand the geo-economic relations between China and its neighboring countries. This article built a new origin-destination mutual model to analyze the temporal variation of mutual interaction of geo-economic relations between China and its neighboring countries from 2001 to 2016 by selecting the export & import preference, export &import market shares and relation concentration from the perspective of export and import based on goods trade data. Major findings are as follows: 1)The preference of neighboring countries’ exports to China has risen, and is higher than the preference of China’s exports to neighboring countries. 2)The market shares of China’s exports to neighboring countries is higher than that of their exports to China. 3)The preference of neighboring countries’ imports from China is higher than that of China’s imports from them. But, the preference of China’s imports from neighboring countries is mainly focused on Japan and some ASEAN countries. 4)The market shares of China’s imports from neighboring countries has risen, and is higher than that of neighboring countries’ imports from China. 5)Mutual interaction of geo-economic relations between China and neighboring countries are mainly concentrated in Japan, Korea and Singapore. It is necessary to further explore the differences and evolution pattens of geo-economic cooperation between China and its neighboring countries and regions to serve the "Belt and Road" Initiative.

关 键 词：中国 周边国家 地缘经济关系 出口 进口 

分 类 号：F42[经济管理—产业经济]