“一带一路”背景下中巴产业内贸易：水平测定及影响因素分析  

Level determination and analysis of influencing factors of intra-industry trade between China and Pakistan under the background of the “Belt and Road Initiative”

作　　者：张爱玲 韩良秋 ZHANG Ai-ling;HAN Liang-qiu(School of Business,Beijing Language and Culture University,Beijing 100083)

机构地区：[1]北京语言大学商学院

出　　处：《价格月刊》2019年第11期38-44,共7页

基　　金：北京语言大学非实体研究机构支持计划项目(编号：17XTS09)

摘　　要：基于产业内贸易的测算指标GL指数和联合国商品贸易数据库的相关数据,从总体与行业两个维度分析2008年-2017年中国和巴基斯坦产业内贸易的水平。在此基础上,选取两国的经济规模、人均收入差异、经济合作程度以及中国对巴基斯坦的FDI流量等4个变量构建回归方程,实证分析中巴产业内贸易的影响因素。研究发现,经济规模和FDI流量与中巴两国的产业内贸易水平负相关,中巴人均收入差异与两国的产业内贸易水平正相关。最后从扩大中巴市场规模、利用好"一带一路"中国对巴直接投资以及提高人均收入水平三个方面,提出促进中巴双边贸易可持续发展对策建议。Based on the GL index of the intra-industry trade and the relevant data of the United Nations commodity trade database, this paper analyzes the level of intra-industry trade between China and Pakistan from 2008 to 2017 from the overall and industry dimensions. On this basis, we select the four variables, that is, economic scale, per capita income difference, economic cooperation degree and China’s FDI flow to Pakistan, to construct regression equations, and empirically analyze the influencing factors of intra-industry trade between China and Pakistan. The study shows that the economic scale and FDI flow are negatively correlated with the level of intra-industry trade between China and Pakistan and that the per capita income difference between China and Pakistan is positively correlated with the level of intra-industry trade between the two countries. Finally, from the perspective of expanding the scale of the China-Pakistan market, making good use of China’s direct investment in Pakistan in the "Belt and Road Initiative" and increasing the level of per capita income, this paper proposes countermeasures for promoting the sustainable development of bilateral trade between China and Pakistan.

关 键 词：产业内贸易 GL指数 经济规模 人均收入 FDI 

分 类 号：F752[经济管理—国际贸易]