中国制造业与生产性服务业融合到何程度——基于2010—2014年国际投入产出表的分析与国别比较  

To What Extent does China’s Manufacturing and Productive Services Integrate——Base on 2010-2014 International Input-Output Analysis and Comparison

作　　者：彭徽[1,2] 匡贤明 PENG Hui;KUANG Xianming

机构地区：[1]沈阳理工大学经济管理学院 [2]中国(海南)改革发展研究院,570311 [3]中国(海南)改革发展研究院经济研究所

出　　处：《国际贸易问题》2019年第10期100-116,共17页Journal of International Trade

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重点项目“建立中欧自贸区面临的结构性矛盾及其破解研究”(16AZD016);教育部人文社会科学研究青年项目“基于出口动因、出口结构和出口结果的间接出口贸易理论构建”(19YJC790098);辽宁省社会科学规划基金项目“辽宁省生产性服务业与制造业融合发展问题研究”(L18DJY003);沈阳市中青年科技创新人才支持计划项目“钢铁间接出口的测量方法、影响因素和发展路径研究”(2017018);沈阳市哲学社会科学规划课题“沈阳市外贸依存度长期偏低的原因与对策分析”(18039)

摘　　要：本文基于国际投入产出表,构建单向融合度、综合融合度和融合互动度指数,并将产业部门按照技术密集度进行分类,测度产业融合的程度。结合“微笑曲线”和价值链理论,生产性服务业贡献度越高或者制造业贡献度越低,越有利于产业升级。对融合度指标进行国内外对比,结果表明:中国产业融合发展相对滞后,制造业生产中生产性服务业贡献度过低;生产性服务业过度依赖制造业;生产性服务业低技术部门影响力偏低且高技术部门影响力过高;制造业低技术部门产值偏高且高技术部门产值过低。应抓住制造业产业升级的契机,提升生产性服务业贡献度,完善生产性服务业市场机制,促进高技术部门发展,优化生产性服务业部门的影响力,调整制造业部门的产值比重。Based on the international input and output table,the one-way integration,comprehensive integration and fusion interaction index were constructed,and the industrial sector was classified according to the technology intensity to measure the degree of industrial integration.Classification of productive services and manufacturing industries according to technology intensity,indexes were used to measure the degree of integration.Combined with the“smile curve”and value chain theory,the higher the contribution of the producer service industry or the lower the contribution of the manufacturing industry,it is the more favorable to industrial upgrading.The domestic and international comparison of the integration index shows that the development of Chinese industrial integration is relatively lagging behind,such as:the contribution of the productive service industry is too low;production service industry is over-reliant on manufacturing;low-tech sector of production service industry has low influence;manufacturing low-tech sector output is too high.Combined with international experience,this proposal puts forward the development of industrial integration:grasping the opportunity of upgrading the manufacturing industry to enhance the contribution of the productive service industry,perfecting the market mechanism of the productive service industry,promoting the development of the high-tech sector,optimizing the influence of the productive service sector,and adjusting the proportion of output value of the manufacturing sector.

关 键 词：产业融合 投入产出法 融合贡献度 产业影响力 市场机制 

分 类 号：F752[经济管理—国际贸易]