2019年国内玉米市场形势分析及展望  

Domestic Corn Market Situation and Prospects in 2019

作　　者：李园园 焦善伟[2] LI Yuanyuan;JIAO Shanwei(Zhengzhou Shengda University of Economics,Business&Management,Zhengzhou 451191,China;Zhonghua Crains Network,Zhengzhou 450046,China)

机构地区：[1]郑州升达经贸管理学院,河南郑州451191 [2]中华粮网,河南郑州450046

出　　处：《种业导刊》2019年第10期6-9,共4页Journal of Seed Industry Guide

摘　　要：2019年国内玉米市场在偏弱的下游需求、临储玉米拍卖底价大幅调高等综合作用下,呈现出较为明显的涨跌相间行情。由于生猪养殖存栏大幅下降等原因并没有明显体现出来,国内玉米仍存在客观的产需缺口,导致玉米价格向价值靠拢。新一季玉米集中上市已经开启,玉米市场又将迎来新的变化,但面对的形势依然复杂。前期阶段性的供大于求,与中后期需求逐渐恢复带来的产需缺口效应,将使得玉米市场走势呈现分化态势。Since 2019,because of the comprehensive effect of weak downstream demand and substantial increase in the bottom price of temporary storage corn auction,the domestic corn market showed a more obvious up and down trend.Due to the sharp decline in pig breeding stocks and other reasons,there was still an objective gap in domestic corn production and demand,leading to the price of corn close to the value.The new season of corn has begun to be listed,and the corn market will usher in new changes,but the situation is still complicated.In the early stage,the oversupply of supply and the gap in production and demand brought about by the gradual recovery of demand in the middle and late period will make the trend of the corn market in the new year show a differentiation trend.

关 键 词：玉米 价格 生产 拍卖 消费 进口 供需 

分 类 号：S513[农业科学—作物学]