中超联赛职业足球俱乐部赛季初的资金投入和比赛表现与赛季末成绩排名的相关性研究  

Research on the Correlation between Team Performance & Season-end Ranking and Season-start Club Budget in Chinese Football Super League

作　　者：刘天彪[1] 马成全 张丹[1] 刘津均 白旭 LIU Tianbiao;MA Chengquan;ZHANG Dan;LIU Jinjun;BAI Xu(Beijing Normal University,Beijing 100875,China;Chinese Football Association,Beijing 100061,China;North China Institute of Aerospace Engineering,Langfang,Hebei 065000,China)

机构地区：[1]北京师范大学,北京100875 [2]中国足球协会职业联赛理事会执行局,北京100061 [3]北华航天工业学院电子与控制工程学院,河北廊坊065000

出　　处：《首都体育学院学报》2019年第6期511-516,共6页Journal of Capital University of Physical Education and Sports

基　　金：国家社会科学基金青年项目(18CTY011)

摘　　要：为了分析参加中超联赛的职业足球俱乐部赛季初的比赛表现与职业足球俱乐部赛季末成绩排名的相关性,并且分析这一相关性是否与职业足球俱乐部不同的预算额度有关,以及从这一角度把握我国中超联赛职业足球俱乐部的资金投入与赛季末成绩排名之间的规律。以参加2011—2016赛季的中超联赛的所有职业足球俱乐部为研究对象,收集了这些职业足球俱乐部在统计赛季初的比赛表现及计算赛季初预算额度的相关数据,以统计学方法将这些职业足球俱乐部按预算额度分为3类,并建立回归模型。结果发现:中超联赛职业足球俱乐部赛季初的表现越好,赛季末成绩的排名就越好;但这一结果与职业足球俱乐部赛季初预算额度相关。中超联赛低预算职业足球俱乐部的赛季末成绩排名与职业足球俱乐部赛季初比赛表现的显著相关。中高预算职业足球俱乐部在中超联赛赛季初的排名与赛季末成绩排名的相关性不显著,可能会存在开局不利的情况,但赛季末成绩排名与赛季初比赛表现的相关性较小。This research sets to study the correlation between the performance of teams and their ranking at the end of the season of the Chinese Football Super League,analyze whether this correlation is related to different budget lines of professional football clubs,and identify the law between the financial investment of professional football clubs in Chinese Super League and the result ranking at the end of the season from this point of view.Taking 2011-2016 season CSL clubs as objects,this paper collects the relevant information and data of these professional football clubs in the statistics of the performance at the beginning of the season and the calculation of the budget quota at the beginning of the season,divides these professional football clubs into three categories according to the budget quota with statistical method,and establishes the regression model.The results show that the better the performance of CSL Football clubs at the beginning of the season,the better the ranking of the results will be at the end of the season;however,this result is affected by the budget of football club at the beginning of the season.The end of season results of low budget clubs in CSL are more affected by the performance of football clubs at the beginning of the season.The influence of the middle and high budget football club’s ranking at the beginning of the season on the result ranking at the end of the season is not great,and it may have an unfavorable situation at the beginning of the season,but the effect of the performance ranking at the end of the season is less affected by the performance at the beginning of the season.

关 键 词：中超联赛 职业足球俱乐部 成绩排名 赛季初 赛季末 预算 资金投入 

分 类 号：G80-052[文化科学—运动人体科学]