新形势下俄罗斯北极军事态势分析及中国的应对  

Analysis of Military Posture in the Arctic of Russia in the New Situation and China’s Response

作　　者：郭培清 付云清 杨沛东 GUO Pei-qing;FU Yun-qing;YANG Pei-dong(School of International Affairs and Public Administration,Ocean University of China,Qingdao Shandong 266100,China)

机构地区：[1]中国海洋大学国际事务与公共管理学院

出　　处：《太原理工大学学报（社会科学版）》2019年第5期23-28,35,共7页Journal of Taiyuan University of Technology(Social Science Edition)

基　　金：中国海洋发展研究会和中国海洋发展研究中心资助项目“北极航道开发与冰上丝绸之路建设研究”(CAMA201804)

摘　　要：2018年10月,北约在挪威沿海举行了冷战结束以来最大规模的“三叉戟”军演,意图重夺北极地区军事战略主动权。北约的行动导致俄罗斯在北极地区频频“亮肌肉”,致使地区安全局势迅速恶化。中国在地缘上是“近北极国家”,北极地区安全局势与中国国家利益有着密切联系。在当今美国将中俄视为“战略竞争对手”的大背景下,中国如何利用北极安全困境,实现外交突破,将对中国改善周边环境,提升国际话语权有着至关重要的作用。文章重点分析了2018年“三叉戟”军演以来俄罗斯强化北极军事存在的具体措施、战略考量、演变趋势、对华影响及中国的应对。In October 2018,NATO’s largest“Trident Juncture”military exercise was held on the Norwegian coast since the Cold War with the intention of regaining the military strategic initiative in the Arctic.NATO’s actions have led to Russia’s“flex muscle”frequently in the Arctic,causing the security situation in the region to deteriorate rapidly.China is geographically close to the Arctic countries,so the security situation in the Arctic region is closely related to China’s national interests.Under the background that the United States regards China and Russia as“strategic competitors”,how China can use the Arctic security dilemma to achieve diplomatic breakthroughs will play a vital role in improving China’s surrounding environment and upgrading its international discursive power.In this paper,the author systematically explores Russia’s strengthening of military presence in the Arctic,focusing on the specific measures,strategic considerations,evolutionary trends,impacts on China since the“Trident Junction”military exercise in 2018 and China’s response.

关 键 词：俄罗斯 北极 军事态势 “三叉戟”军演 北约 美国 中国 

分 类 号：D815[政治法律—国际关系]