精准扶贫的脱贫与收入消费增长效应跟踪评估——来自江苏省“扶贫到户”政策的经验  

Tracking and Evaluation of the Effect of Targeted Poverty Alleviation and Income Consumption Growth: Experience from the “Poverty Alleviation to Households”Policy in Jiangsu Province

作　　者：徐志刚[1] 李美佳[1] 王晨 XU Zhigang;LI Meijia;WANG Chen

机构地区：[1]南京农业大学经济管理学院

出　　处：《南京农业大学学报（社会科学版）》2019年第6期29-38,157,共11页Journal of Nanjing Agricultural University(Social Sciences Edition)

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目“人口变化和劳动成本上升背景下的农户适应性调整与中国粮食生产竞争力研究”(71573133);江苏省高校优势学科建设工程资助项目(PAPD)

摘　　要：精准扶贫政策的效果评估是近年来社会密切关注的问题。 基于 2013 年和 2015 年针对江苏 省“扶贫到户”政策影响的农户跟踪调查数据,利用双重差分法,对精准扶贫的脱贫效应,对贫困户经 济活动、收入和消费增长的影响进行了实证分析。 研究表明,精准扶贫显著降低了贫困发生率,可并 无证据表明明显促进贫困户收入和消费增长。 但分组分析发现,精准扶贫对收入低于贫困标准的真 正贫困人群有一定的收入消费增长效应。 精准扶贫脱贫效应明显,但提高贫困户收入消费水平和改 善其生活状况的作用需要强化,瞄准性偏差、帮扶机制不完善等问题也亟需解决。The effect evaluation of targeted poverty alleviation policy is a problem that the society pays close attention to in recent years.Based on the follow-up survey data of households affected by the“poverty alleviation to households”policy in Jiangsu Province in 2013 and 2015,an empirical analysis was conducted on the effect of targeted poverty alleviation and the impact of targeted poverty alleviation on economic activities,income and consumption growth of poor households by using the difference in differencemethod(DID).Research showed that targeted poverty alleviation significantly reduces the incidence of poverty,but there is no evidence that it significantly promotes the income and consumption growth of poor households.However,group analysis showed that targeted poverty alleviation has a certain effect on income consumption growth of the truly poor people whose income is lower than the poverty standard.Targeted poverty alleviation has obvious effects,but the role of raising income and consumption level of poor households and improving their living conditions needs to be strengthened.Targeted deviation and optimization of support mechanism also need to be improved.

关 键 词：精准扶贫 政策评估 脱贫效应 收入消费增长 

分 类 号：C931[经济管理—管理学]