中亚五国2018年经济金融形势分析及未来展望  

Economic and Financial Situation Analysis and Future Prospects of Five Central Asian Countries in 2018

作　　者：新疆金融学会中亚金融研究中心课题组 岳永生 刘遵乐 董莉 Research Group of Central Asia Finance Research Center of Xinjiang Finance Association

机构地区：[1]不详

出　　处：《金融发展评论》2019年第4期29-46,共18页Financial Development Review

摘　　要：2018年,中亚地区政治经济形势总体平稳,受外部环境改善和部分国家内需回暖影响,各国经济保持恢复性增长,财政压力在一定程度上得到了缓解。由于全球大宗商品价格低迷,各国外贸情况表现欠佳,政府外汇储备进一步减少,外债压力继续存在。各国通胀走势有所分化,哈、吉、塔等国高通胀问题得到有效抑制,鸟、土两国通胀压力持续攀升。受外部因素影响,中亚国家外汇市场波动较大,哈、塔出现货币大幅贬值。中亚各国经济结构不合理问题没有得到有效改善,结构性问题依旧突出,经济发展仍然存在较多不确定性,需要进一步加强关注。In 2018,the political and economic situation in Central Asia was generally stable.Due to the improvement of the external environment and the recovery of domestic demand in some countries,the economies of various countries maintained a recovery growth,and financial pressures were alleviated to some extent.Due to the sluggish global commodity prices,the foreign trade performance of the countries is not good,the government’s foreign exchange reserves are further reduced,and external debt pressures continue to exist The inflation trend of various countries has been divided.The high inflation problems in Kazakhstan,Kyrgyzstan,and Tajikistan have been effectively suppressed.The inflationary pressures in Uzbekistan and Turkey have continued to rise.Affected by external factors,the foreign exchange market of Central Asian countries fluctuated greatly,and the currencies of Kazakhstan and Tajikistan depreciated sharply.The problem of irrational economic structure in Central Asian countries has not been effectively improved,structural problems remain outstanding,and economic development still has more uncertainties,and further attention needs to be raised.

关 键 词：中亚五国 经济 分析展望 

分 类 号：F83[经济管理—金融学]