我国农业劳动生产率影响因素实证研究  

Empirical Study on the Influencing Factors of Agricultural Labor Productivity in China

作　　者：蔡伟 原云霄 CAI Wei;YUAN Yun-xiao(Finance Department of Qingdao agricultural university,Qingdao in Shandong 266109;Department of economics and management,Haidu College of Qingdao Agricultural University,Laiyang in Shandong 265200)

机构地区：[1]青岛农业大学财务处,山东青岛266109 [2]青岛农业大学海都学院经济与管理系,山东莱阳265200

出　　处：《青岛农业大学学报（社会科学版）》2019年第4期39-46,共8页Journal of Qingdao Agricultural University(Social Science)

摘　　要：本文基于1978-2016年农业劳动生产率及相关指标数据,运用VAR模型和动态面板模型发现:全国土地生产率与人均资本每增加一个百分点农业劳动生产率分别增加0.31、1.05个百分点,劳动力人数每增加一个百分点农业劳动生产率下降0.39个百分点,方差分解贡献排名为土地生产率50%、农业生产率28%、人均资本19%;辽宁、西藏、上海、四川、宁夏土地生产率有待提高,陕西、浙江、广东、海南、宁夏、山东应加快转移农业劳动力;区域来看率先加强西部、中部地区农业资金扶持力度,重点转移东、中部地区农业劳动生产力,优先开发中部、东部地区土地生产潜力。Based on the agricultural labor productivity and relevant index data from 1978 to 2016,this paper uses VAR model and dynamic panel model to analyze the data and finds out that the agricultural labor productivity increases by 0.31%and 1.05%respectively when the national land productivity and per capita capital increase by 1%.It also finds that the agricultural labor productivity fell by 1%when labor force increase by 1%,and the variance decomposition contribution rankings for agricultural productivity are land productivity(50%),agricultural productivity(28%),and per capita capital(19%).The land productivity of Liaoning,Tibet,Shanghai,Sichuan and Ningxia needs to be improved,and Shaanxi,Zhejiang,Guangdong,Hainan,Ningxia and Shandong should accelerate the transfer of agricultural labor force.It is of great importance to strengthen the agricultural capital support first in the western and central regions,focus on the transfer of agricultural labor force in the east and central regions and give priority to the development of land production potential in the central and eastern regions.

关 键 词：农业劳动生产率 土地生产率 农业资本深化 劳动力规模 

分 类 号：F323.6[经济管理—产业经济]