土地出让金增长与我国经济增长集约化:基于省际面板数据的实证分析  

Increase of Land Transfer Fee and Intensive Economic Growth in China:Empirical Analysis Based on Provincial Panel Data

作　　者：赵文军[1] ZHAO Wen—jun(College of Economics,Shenzhen University,Shenzhen,Guangdong,518060)

机构地区：[1]深圳大学经济学院

出　　处：《深圳大学学报（人文社会科学版）》2019年第6期58-69,共12页Journal of Shenzhen University：Humanities & Social Sciences

基　　金：国家社会科学基金一般项目“我国市场化进程影响经济发展方式转变的传导机制与对策研究”(15BJY006)

摘　　要：我国经济增长集约化进程不容乐观,土地出让金增长对此有重要影响。基于1999~2015年30个省份数据,运用动态面板系统GMM方法,分析土地出让金增长对经济增长集约化的影响作用。研究表明,我国所有省份土地出让金都呈高速增长之势,强力贡献于地方财政收入,乃至成为地方财政收入的主要来源。我国经济增长集约化水平的变化具有显著的自我强化效应,沿海地区和集约化水平较高地区的自我强化效应相对较强。我国土地出让金的强势增长对经济增长集约化存在明显的负面影响,沿海地区和集约化水平较低地区的不利影响相对较大。我国招拍挂土地出让范围的扩大并未带来正经济增长集约化效应,内陆地区和集约化水平较低地区甚至具有显著负效应。The intensification process of China’s economic growth is not optimistic, on which the increase of land transfer fees has great impact. Based on the data of 30 provinces from 1999 to 2015, using the dynamic panel system GMM method, this paper analyzes the impact of the increase of land transfer fees on the intensification of China’s economic growth. The findings shows that the land transfer fees of all provinces in China are growing rapidly, contributing strongly to local fiscal revenue and even becoming the main source of local fiscal revenue. The change in intensification level of China’s economic growth has a significant self-reinforcing effect, and this effect is stronger in coastal areas and areas of higher intensification level. The strong increase of land transfer fees in China has obvious negative impact on intensive economic growth in China, and the negative impact is larger in coastal areas and areas of lower intensification level. The expansion of land transfer in China through bidding, auction and listing has no positive effect on Chinas’ intensive economic growth, and even has negative effect in inland areas and areas of lower intensification level.

关 键 词：土地出让金 经济增长集约化 土地出让方式 动态面板系统GMM估计 经济发展转型 

分 类 号：F812.4文献标识码:A[经济管理—财政学]