财政支出政策影响产业结构升级的作用机制和效应分析——基于中国省级面板数据的系统GMM实证检验  

The Mechanism and Effect of Fiscal Expenditure Policy Affecting Industrial Structure:System GMM Empirical Test Based on China Provincial Panel Data

作　　者：杨志安[1] 李梦涵[1] YANG Zhian;LI Menghan(School of Economics,Liaoning University,Shenyang 110036,China)

机构地区：[1]辽宁大学经济学院

出　　处：《辽宁大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2019年第6期45-54,共10页Journal of Liaoning University(Philosophy and Social Sciences Edition)

基　　金：教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目“对政府全口径预算与决算的审查与监督研究”（13JZD021）

摘　　要：产业结构升级是经济发展的内在要求,通过合理的财税政策安排来配置资源要素、优化产业结构和产业布局成为转变经济增长方式可行的路径。文章基于2001-2015年省级面板数据,利用系统GMM模型分别实证检验了支出规模和支出结构对产业结构升级的影响效应。研究结果显示:从总量层面来看,支出规模对产业结构升级的政策效果受正向促进效应和负向倒逼效应的共同影响;从结构层面来看,投资性支出与民生性支出均有利于产业结构升级,而消费性支出对产业结构升级产生抑制作用,且支出结构对产业结构升级的政策效应存在较大的区域差距。The upgrading of industrial structure is the inherent requirement of economic development. It is a feasible way to transform the economic growth mode to optimize industrial structure and industrial layout by allocating resource elements through rational fiscal and tax policy arrangement. Based on the provincial panel data from 2001 to 2015, this paper empirically tested the impact of expenditure scale and expenditure structure on the upgrading of industrial structure by using the system GMM model. The results show that on the total level, the impact of expenditure scale on industrial structure upgrading policy is influenced by both positive promoting effect and negative pushing effect. From the perspective of structure, both investment expenditure and civil expenditure are conducive to the upgrading of industrial structure, while consumption expenditure inhibits the upgrading of industrial structure. Besides, there is a large regional gap in the policy effect of expenditure structure on the upgrading of industrial structure.

关 键 词：产业结构升级 支出规模 支出结构 系统矩估计 

分 类 号：F810.452[经济管理—财政学]