港口建设费征收对航运市场影响的系统动力学分析  

System Dynamics Analysis of the Impact of Port Construction Fee Levy on Shipping Market

作　　者：万淑贞 盛进路[1,2] 于敏[1,3] WAN Shuzhen;SHENG Jinlu;YU Min(School of Traffic and Transportation,Chongqing Jiaotong University,Chongqing 40074,China;Chongqing Key Laboratory of Transportation Engineering,Chongqing Jiaotong University,Chongqing 40074,China;School of Economics and Management,Chongqing Jiaotong University,Chongqing 400074,China)

机构地区：[1]重庆交通大学交通运输学院,重庆400074 [2]重庆市交通运输工程重点实验室,重庆400074 [3]重庆大学经济与管理学院,重庆400074

出　　处：《集美大学学报（自然科学版）》2019年第6期442-448,共7页Journal of Jimei University：Natural Science

基　　金：重庆市教委科学技术研究项目(KJ1600509);重庆市科委基础研究与前沿探索项目(cstc2016jcyjA0561)

摘　　要：为了寻求优化港口建设费征收措施的方法,运用系统动力学方法,建立港口建设费-航运市场系统仿真模型,采用定性与定量结合的方式,分析港口建设费征收对航运市场的影响效应,并对航运市场发展趋势进行了预测。调整模型变量参数,根据模型变量的变化结果得出了港口建设费征收对航运市场发展的影响因素。港口建设费的征收受到征收流程复杂度、征收政策以及缴费人满意度的影响,港口建设费征收费率对航运市场的发展产生影响。In order to identify ways to optimize the port construction fee collection measures,this paper uses the system dynamics method to establish a port construction fee-shipping market system simulation model,using qualitative and quantitative methods.The influence of port construction fee collection on the shipping market was analyzed,and the development trend of the shipping market was predicted.By adjusting the parameters of the model variables,and according to the change results of the model variables,the key influencing factors of the port construction fee collection on the development of the shipping market are obtained.The collection of port construction fees will be affected by the complexity of the collection process,collection policies and the satisfaction of the contributors.The port construction fee collection rates will have an impact on the development of the shipping market.

关 键 词：港口建设费 航运市场 系统动力学 影响效应 

分 类 号：F552.0[经济管理—产业经济]