中欧班列对内陆地区贸易增长的影响效应研究  

Research on the Effect of CR-express on Trade Growth in Inland Regions

作　　者：张祥建 李永盛 赵晓雷 Zhang Xiangjian;Li Yongsheng;Zhao Xiaolei(School of Urban and Regional Science,Shanghai University of Finance and Economics,Shanghai 200433,China)

机构地区：[1]上海财经大学城市与区域科学学院

出　　处：《财经研究》2019年第11期97-111,共15页Journal of Finance and Economics

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目(18VSJ077);国家社会科学基金项目(19BTJ054);国家自然科学基金项目(71772113,71473156);上海浦江人才计划课题(17PJC047);上海财经大学研究生创新基金资助项目(CXJJ-2016-444)

摘　　要：贸易的发展需要通道,通道的建设也会带动贸易增长,中欧班列是新时代联通亚欧大陆的实体纽带,为中西部内陆地区扩大贸易进出口和深化对外开放提供了新机遇。文章采用PSMDID方法,以2008-2017年中西部地区的面板数据,实证检验了中欧班列开通对内陆地区贸易增长的影响效应及其传导机制。研究发现:(1)中欧班列显著促进了内陆地区的贸易增长,对开通地区的贸易增长影响更大,并且这种增长效应呈现出先高后低再高的阶段性动态特征。(2)中欧班列的开通有助于降低运输成本和交易成本,提高外资和内资吸引力,促进产业结构和产业布局的优化调整,为中西部地区的贸易进出口增长提供内生动力。(3)进一步对区位异质性分析后发现,内陆自由贸易区、货源地节点和运输通道的贸易水平受中欧班列的影响更大,中欧班列强化了内陆自由贸易区的资源要素汇聚功能,放大了货源地节点的"虹吸效应"和运输通道的"辐射效应"。因此,在把握中欧班列开通带来的贸易便利化同时,应优化中欧班列的运输线路布局,建立地区货源协调机制,充分发挥内陆自由贸易区的对外开放枢纽作用和中欧班列的辐射带动效应。China Railway Express is an important step of interconnection under the Belt and Road initiative,which has built a large international trade logistics channel linking the Eurasian Economic Circle.As a key breakthrough for the"coastalization"of inland regions,can CR-express promote the trade growth of inland regions,especially inland free trade zones?To what extent has trade growth been improved?What is the influence mechanism of CR-express on trade growth in inland regions?What is the impact of CR-express on investment and industrial distribution in inland regions,and how will it affect trade growth?Are there differences in trade growth among different locations,such as inland free trade zones,transport channels,and source nodes?How can CR-express construction further promote trade growth in inland regions?These urgent problems have important practical significance for grasping the effect and transmission mechanism of CR-express construction on trade growth in inland regions,and can also provide enlightenment to further develop China’s opening up and narrow the regional development gap.This paper analyzes the effect and mechanism of international logistics transport vehicle on regional trade growth.By using the panel data of economy and trade in the central and western inland regions from 2008 to2017,and the method of PSM-DID,this paper makes an empirical study on the relationship between CR-express and trade growth in inland regions,and explores the internal mechanism of CR-express on trade growth from the perspectives of transport costs and transaction costs.It further analyzes the impact of the opening of CR-express on investment and industrial distribution in inland regions,and examines the regional heterogeneity of CR-express on trade growth in inland free trade zones,source nodes,and transport channels.Important conclusions of this paper are as follows:Firstly,the opening of CR-express has significantly promoted the trade growth in inland regions,especially the regions opening CR-express.The trade growth

关 键 词：中欧班列 内陆地区 贸易增长效应 PSM-DID 

分 类 号：F061.5[经济管理—政治经济学] F532.3