贸易伙伴国交通基础设施建设与中国对外贸易发展——基于中国与亚投行56个意向创始成员国的实证分析  

Transport Infrastructure of Trading Partner and Chinas Foreign Trade Development——Empirical Analysis Based on China and 56 Founder Members of Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank

作　　者：张支南[1] 巫俊 Zhinan Zhang;Jun Wu(Institute of World Economics and Politics,Chinese Academy of Social Sciences;College of Economics and Management,Southwest University)

机构地区：[1]中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所 [2]西南大学经济管理学院

出　　处：《经济学报》2019年第3期1-23,共23页China Journal of Economics

摘　　要：本文利用2000-2015年中国与亚洲基础设施投资银行56个意向创始成员国之间的双边数据检验了贸易伙伴国的交通基础设施水平对中国进出口贸易的影响。实证结果表明:(1)从总体上来看,亚投行意向创始成员国交通基础设施总体水平的提升将会促进中国与他们之间的进出口贸易规模扩大。(2)从不同类型的交通基础设施来看,亚投行意向创始成员国铁路基础设施建设对中国与他们进出口贸易规模的影响最大,其次是港口基础设施,航空基础设施的影响最小。(3)从不同类型的贸易伙伴国来看,交通基础设施总体水平的提升,将更能促进中国自"一带一路"沿线国家的进口贸易规模扩大,更能促进中国与发展中国家或者亚洲国家之间的进出口贸易规模扩大。Using bilateral trade data of China and 56 founding members of AIIB during 2000-2015,we analyze the impact of trading partner’s transport infrastructure on China’s foreign trade.Our empirical results show that:(1)Overall,sound transport infrastructure of founder members will promote imports and exports between China and them.(2)From the perspective of different types of transport infrastructure,the railway infrastructure of founder members has the largest effect on China’s trade with these countries,followed by port and aviation infrastructure.(3)From the perspective of different types of trading partners,the improvement of transport infrastructure will contribute greatly to China’s imports from countries along the Belt and Road,and can further promote China’s imports and exports from developing countries or Asian countries.

关 键 词：交通基础设施 出口贸易 进口贸易 亚洲基础设施投资银行 

分 类 号：F75[经济管理—国际贸易]