中国十大城市群民生发展差异来源及驱动因素  

Sources and Drivers of Differences in People's Livelihood Development in Ten Major Urban Agglomerations in China

作　　者：陈明华[1] 刘玉鑫 王山 刘文斐 Chen Minghua;Liu Yuxin;Wang Shan;Liu Wenfei(School of Economics,Shandong University of Finance and Economics)

机构地区：[1]山东财经大学经济学院

出　　处：《数量经济技术经济研究》2020年第1期23-40,共18页Journal of Quantitative & Technological Economics

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目“空间异质性视角下长江经济带生态效率评价及提升路径研究”(19BJY087);山东省社会科学规划研究优势学科项目“山东半岛城市群绿色经济增长绩效评价及协同提升路径研究”(19BYSJ37);山东省自然科学基金项目“山东半岛城市群普惠金融发展水平测度、差异分解及协同提升路径研究”(ZR2016GM18)的资助。

摘　　要：研究目标:揭示中国十大城市群民生发展差异的来源及驱动因素。研究方法:利用熵值法测算2000~2016年中国十大城市群的民生发展水平,采用Theil指数和方差分解方法探究其空间差异来源和结构差异来源,运用地理探测器考察十大城市群民生发展差异的驱动因素。研究发现:样本期间十大城市群民生发展水平均呈显著上升态势,但城市群之间分异显著;十大城市群民生发展差异主要来源于各城市群内部差异,但地区间差异的贡献呈迅速扩大态势;无论全样本还是分时期,社会发展差异、人民生活差异、生态建设差异对大多数城市群民生发展差异的贡献和独立驱动作用都较高,而科技创新差异的贡献和驱动作用则都较小;每对双因子组合共同作用时都会增强各自对民生发展差异的影响,但这种强化作用在2008年之后有所减弱。研究创新:基于空间和结构双重视角考察了中国十大城市群民生发展差异的主要来源,并揭示了其背后驱动因素的独立和交互作用。研究价值:对于探索中国十大城市群民生发展水平协同提升路径具有重要意义。Research Objectives:Reveal the sources and drivers of the differences in people's livelihood development in China's ten major urban agglomerations.Research Methods:The entropy method is used to measure the development level of people's livelihood in China's ten major urban agglomerations from 2000 to 2016,and the Theil index and variance decomposition method are used to explore the sources of its spatial differences and structural differences.The Geodetector is used to investigate the drivers of differences in the development of people's livelihood in the ten major urban agglomerations.Research Findings:During the sample period,the development of people's livelihood in the ten major urban agglomerations showed a significant upward trend,but the differences among urban agglomerations were significant.The gaps in the development of the people's livelihood in the ten major urban agglomerations are mainly due to the internal differences among the urban agglomerations,but the contribution of regional differences is rapidly expanding.Regardless of the whole sample or time period,both the contribution and driving role of differences in social development,differences in people's lives,and differences in ecological construction to the differences in the development of people's livelihood are relatively high in most urban agglomerations,while the contribution and driving role of differences in technological innovation are smaller.Each pair of two-factor combination will enhance their respective impact on the differences in the development of people's livelihood,but this strengthening effect is significantly greater before 2008.Research Innovations:Based on the spatial and structural perspectives,this paper examines the main sources of differences in the development of people's livelihood in China's ten major urban agglomerations,and reveals the independence and interaction of the driving factors behind them.Research Value:It is of great significance to explore the coordinated improvement path of the development level of th

关 键 词：城市群民生发展 差异来源 地理探测器 

分 类 号：C913[经济管理]