集成DEMATEL/ISM的木材产业园消防风险影响因素研究  

Research on Factors Influencing Fire Danger in Wood Industrial Parks Based on DEMATEL/ISM

作　　者：薛伟[1] 耿志伟[1] 王海滨[1] 张华超[1,2] 郭德禹 Xue Wei;Geng Zhiwei;Wang Haibin;Zhang Huachao;Guo Deyu(College of Engineering and Technology,Northeast Forestry University,Harbin 150040,China;BaiHe Forestry Bureau,Changbai Mountain Forest Industry Group,Yanbian 133000,China)

机构地区：[1]东北林业大学工程技术学院,黑龙江哈尔滨150040 [2]长白山森工集团白河林业局,吉林延边朝鲜族自治州133000

出　　处：《南开大学学报（自然科学版）》2019年第6期99-104,共6页Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Nankaiensis

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(31500587);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金(2572017AB19)

摘　　要：为深入了解木材产业园区消防风险发生机制,提高木材产业园区的消防安全性和消防管理水平,基于系统论、事故致因理论、危险源理论等理论,建立包含5个方面、17个因素的木材产业园区消防风险影响指标体系,进而运用集成DEMATEL/ISM法,基于影响因素间的相互作用关系,构建因素间影响关系矩阵,建立因素解释结构模型,以分析木材产业园区消防风险影响因素的重要程度,并明确因素间的逻辑关系.结果表明,木材产业园区消防安全影响因素体系包含8个原因因素,9个结果因素,构建为5级3阶的多级递阶结构,从直接原因、间接原因、本质原因3方面提出具体消防风险管控措施,为木材产业园区的安全生产、科学管理及消防安全决策提供理论依据.To insight into the fire danger mechanism of wood industrial parks and improve the fire safety as well as the fire prevention management of wood industrial park, 17 factors influencing fire danger of wood industrial parks are summarized from personnel, equipment, combustible, environment and management perspectives based on the system theory, the accident causation theory and the hazard theory in this paper. Then the integrated DEMATEL/ISM method is applied to build influence matrix and logical structure model of the fire danger influencing factors in wood industrial parks with the interaction relationship between various influencing factors in consideration to analyze factors’ importance and logical relationship.The analysis result shows that fire safety influencing factors system of wood industrial parks is composed of 8 result factors and 9 cause factors which can be divided into 5 levels-3 class multilevel hierarchical structure. In the end, the concrete fire risk control measures are put forward from three aspects, that is immediate cause, remote cause and basic cause, which will provide theoretical basis for safe production,scientific management and decision-making in wood industrial parks.

关 键 词：木材产业园区 消防风险 影响因素 决策试验和评价实验室 解释结构模型 

分 类 号：X932[环境科学与工程—安全科学]